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  Talk Elections
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  MI-Mitchell Research: Deadlocked
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Author Topic: MI-Mitchell Research: Deadlocked  (Read 3367 times)
IceSpear
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« on: November 03, 2014, 07:39:35 pm »

Snyder 47
Schauer 47

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Mitchell_MI_110314.pdf
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2014, 07:39:58 pm »

Schauer is surging at just the right time!

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Illuminati Blood Drinker
phwezer
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E: -9.42, S: -7.30

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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2014, 07:42:03 pm »

Fingers f[inks]ing crossed.

Now if only we could kick out Walker...Sad
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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Dominica


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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2014, 07:43:07 pm »

Holy crap. I literally have no idea what to predict in Wisconsin and Michigan at the moment. I suspect we lose both by like 1% though. Sad
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2014, 07:44:18 pm »

Holy crap. I literally have no idea what to predict in Wisconsin and Michigan at the moment. I suspect we lose both by like 1% though. Sad

I'm predicting Snyder loses and Walker wins. I'd rather have it vice versa, but I'll take what I can get...
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KCDem
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2014, 07:49:52 pm »

GLORIOUS NEWS!

I called it Cheesy
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2014, 07:54:05 pm »

After this, Snyder's gonna need a nice hot Schauer! Am I right guys?
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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Dominica


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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2014, 07:55:40 pm »

After this, Snyder's gonna need a nice hot Schauer! Am I right guys?

Damn! Respect.
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KCDem
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2014, 07:57:12 pm »

Blacks at only 12% of the sample? Believable? I don't think so.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2014, 08:11:53 pm »

Blacks at only 12% of the sample? Believable? I don't think so.

It was 16% in 2012, so assuming midterm dropoff, it's not completely unbelievable.

But here's what makes Snyder in really deep dookie:

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Lief 🐋
Lief
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Dominica


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« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2014, 08:18:56 pm »

New Poll: Michigan Governor by Mitchell Research on 2014-11-02

Summary: D: 47%, R: 47%, I: 4%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2014, 09:02:10 pm »

I'm REALLY starting to think Snyder could blow this.
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Marston
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« Reply #12 on: November 04, 2014, 12:59:41 am »

...trying not to be optimistic, but all the indicators look good. Having a GOP shill firm like Mitchell put out a tie is telling.
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #13 on: November 04, 2014, 01:01:36 am »

I have this at Snyder >40%, rather than >50%, for a reason. I won't be surprised if Schauer pulls off the slight upset.
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Marston
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« Reply #14 on: November 04, 2014, 02:07:22 am »

It's been overshadowed by Terri Lynn Land's joke of a campaign, but Snyder actually hasn't ran a very good race at all. You can really tell he just hates retail politicking and has an aversion to conflict. He also really didn't start doing anything until September, allowing Schauer to define himself as a legitimate alternative.

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