IL: Ogden & Fry (R): Rauner claims 4-point lead in internal (user search)
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  IL: Ogden & Fry (R): Rauner claims 4-point lead in internal (search mode)
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Author Topic: IL: Ogden & Fry (R): Rauner claims 4-point lead in internal  (Read 3837 times)
Nichlemn
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Posts: 1,920
« on: November 05, 2014, 02:42:41 AM »
Heh, turned out to be right on the money. Probably an accident rather than unusually good polling though.
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Nichlemn
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Posts: 1,920
« Reply #1 on: November 14, 2014, 07:29:18 PM »
Quote from: GaussLaw on November 14, 2014, 07:26:27 PM
Quote from: ModerateVAVoter on November 05, 2014, 03:11:21 AM
For the most part, Republican internals nailed it this year.

Indeed.  Just as Dem internals nailed in 2012.  Hopefully we won't have too many blue avatars attempting a stupid extrapolation of 2012 polling error like the Dems did [to an extent] this cycle.

Hopefully this election illustrates the principle learned in any basic stats class:  don't extrapolate from a limited sample size.

Unfortunately, 90% of the analysis in this forum is like that.
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