IL: Ogden & Fry (R): Rauner claims 4-point lead in internal

[GaussLaw]

For the most part, Republican internals nailed it this year.

Indeed.  Just as Dem internals nailed in 2012.  Hopefully we won't have too many blue avatars attempting a stupid extrapolation of 2014 polling error like the Dems did [to an extent] this cycle with 2012 polling error.

Hopefully this election illustrates the principle learned in any basic stats class:  don't extrapolate from a limited sample size.