PPP: Perdue +1, Orman +1, Hagan +2, Shaheen +2, Ernst +3 (user search)
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  PPP: Perdue +1, Orman +1, Hagan +2, Shaheen +2, Ernst +3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: PPP: Perdue +1, Orman +1, Hagan +2, Shaheen +2, Ernst +3  (Read 34052 times)
Adam Griffin
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E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« on: November 03, 2014, 07:35:55 PM »

Doing some digging around the GA cross-tabs...

They've got in relation to racial mix..

White 64%
African-American 29%
Other 7%

Considering the early-vote is about what? 33% AA, are we expecting the AA vote to drop off by nearly 4%?

Plus it seems Nunn has stronger cross-over support.


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Unless the DPG and the combined campaigns have done an unprecedented and frankly unbelievable job at converting black election day voters in 2010 into black early voters in 2014, then it's possible that the final electorate is 32% black, which would be perhaps the biggest demographic upset of the night (considering Obama only managed to build a 30% black electorate in GA in 2008/2012, which was considered monumental).
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