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March 08, 2021, 01:14:39 AM

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction  (Read 2554 times)
#NeverSinema
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« on: November 03, 2014, 01:08:15 PM »
Quote from: dmmidmi on November 03, 2014, 08:16:03 AM
24 hours to go, make a prediction in the following areas:

Lock: Declare a winner in a competitive race
Upset: The race where you believe an underdog is most likely to win
Bold Prediction: Could be an upset, could be a prediction about the margin of victory in a certain race--something unexpected

Lock: Davis wins
Upset: Schauer over Snyder
Bold Prediction: Quinn outperforms Raimondo
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Maxwell
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2014, 01:11:56 PM »
Lock: Ducey wins
Upset: Beauprez wins
Bold Prediction: Hogan loses by only 2 points.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2014, 01:29:00 PM »
This is tough because so many races could go either way...

Lock: Charlie Baker wins
Upset: I may look crazy for saying this tomorrow night, but Hogan wins in Maryland
Bold Prediction: Deal wins outright, avoiding a runoff
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IceSpear
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2014, 01:29:10 PM »
Lock: Crist wins
Upset: Schauer beats Snyder
Bold Prediction: Deal cracks 50% and avoids a runoff.
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dmmidmi
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2014, 01:37:15 PM »
« Edited: November 03, 2014, 01:40:05 PM by dmmidmi »
Lock: Charlie Baker wins in Massachusetts
Upset: Sean Parnell wins in Alaska
Bold Prediction: All major media outlets declare Charlie Crist as the winner of the Florida Gubernatorial Election before 11:00pm EST
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sg0508
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2014, 01:48:44 PM »
Lock: Brownback is toast in KS.
Upset: Walker loses in WI; Democrats close well in WI.
Bold Prediction: Quinn wins by >5 pts in IL.
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L.D. Smith
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2014, 02:42:57 PM »
Lock: LePage loses to Michaud (Maine)
Upset: Carter beats Deal outright (Georgia)
Bold: Shaheen loses by 3 points to Haley instead of widely (South Carolina)
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morgieb
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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2014, 03:47:11 PM »
Lock: Brownback loses
Upset: Synder loses to Schauer
Bold: Ricketts and Fallin get a scare, like win with margins under 10 points.
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Dereich
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2014, 03:53:41 PM »
Lock: Beauprez wins.
Upset: Scott pulls it out by 20,000 votes.
Bold Prediction: Coakley somehow ends up winning.
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KCDem
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« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2014, 06:37:03 PM »
« Edited: November 03, 2014, 06:54:12 PM by KCDem »
Lock: Davis wins
Upset: Schauer wins
Bold Prediction: Ricketts wins by single digits
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Wolverine22
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« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2014, 06:47:06 PM »
Lock: Wolf wins
Upset: Mark Schauer wins
Bold Prediction: Mary Burke beats Scott Walker
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IceSpear
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« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2014, 06:50:05 PM »
Quote from: Wolverine22 on November 03, 2014, 06:47:06 PM
Lock: Wolf wins
Upset: Mark Schauer wins
Bold Prediction: Mary Burke beats Scott Walker

It said pick a winner in a competitive race. Wink
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Devils30
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« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2014, 06:54:53 PM »
Lock: Hickenlooper wins
Upset: Schauer wins
Bold pick: at least 2 races have recounts
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Wolverine22
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« Reply #13 on: November 03, 2014, 06:59:04 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on November 03, 2014, 06:50:05 PM
Quote from: Wolverine22 on November 03, 2014, 06:47:06 PM
Lock: Paul Davis wins
Upset: Mark Schauer wins
Bold Prediction: Mary Burke beats Scott Walker

It said pick a winner in a competitive race. Wink

Fixed.
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Virginia Yellow Dog
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« Reply #14 on: November 03, 2014, 07:09:33 PM »
Lock: Rick Snyder wins re-election over Mark Schauer
Upset: Mary Burke defeats Scott Walker
Bold: Nathan Deal defeats Jason Carter without having to go through a runoff
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backtored
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« Reply #15 on: November 03, 2014, 07:14:50 PM »
Lock: Malloy wins
Upset: Beauprez wins (is that really an upset, though?)
Bold: Snyder wins by more than 3 points.
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Miles
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« Reply #16 on: November 03, 2014, 07:16:23 PM »
Lock: Michaud wins ME
Upset: Coakley wins
Bold Prediction: Martinez wins by a larger margin than Udall
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SPC
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« Reply #17 on: November 03, 2014, 07:17:39 PM »
Lock: Scott Walker wins reelection
Upset: LePage wins reelection
Bold: Whoever prevails in Rhode Island does so by less than 2%
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #18 on: November 03, 2014, 07:19:03 PM »
Lock- Rick Scott wins
Upset- Brownback wins narrowly
Bold Prediction- Parnell wins fairly comfortably, with 50% or more of the vote
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Seattle
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« Reply #19 on: November 03, 2014, 11:40:24 PM »
Lock: Parnell wins in AK
Upset: Schauer barely beats Snyder in MI
Bold Prediction: Hassan wins by at least 10
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TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
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« Reply #20 on: November 04, 2014, 11:16:43 AM »
Lock: Walker wins
Upset: Beauprez wins
Bold Prediction: FitzGerald loses Cuyahoga County
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New_Conservative
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« Reply #21 on: November 04, 2014, 11:18:41 AM »
Lock: Walker wins
Upset: Fung wins
Bold Prediction: LePage wins in Maine
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Liberalrocks
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« Reply #22 on: November 04, 2014, 11:23:28 AM »
Lock: Hickenlooper wins
Upset: Schauer wins
Bold pick: Martha Coakley wins over 50%. Burke wins Wisconsin.
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NHI
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« Reply #23 on: November 04, 2014, 11:48:24 AM »
Lock: Walker Wins in WI.
Upset: Coakley wins
Bold: Hassan wins by 2-3 points.
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Recalcuate
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« Reply #24 on: November 04, 2014, 12:23:32 PM »
Lock: Baker beats Coakley in MA
Upset: Beuprez defeats Hickenlooper
Bold Prediction: Deal avoids the runoff in GA
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