LA: PPP: Landrieu leads primary, close runoff
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 06:41:59 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  2014 Senatorial Election Polls
  LA: PPP: Landrieu leads primary, close runoff
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2]
Author Topic: LA: PPP: Landrieu leads primary, close runoff  (Read 7669 times)
DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,926
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: November 02, 2014, 11:35:03 AM »

At the risk of being called names, I'm going to say it's not wise to underestimate Landrieu. Even if you hate Landrieu, you have to admit that she still has a chance, as she's been able to win before.
Logged
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,512
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: November 02, 2014, 08:17:33 PM »

Those are some startlingly good numbers for Landrieu in the runoff. Could she work a miracle yet again?

...the numbers are contingent on the December electorate being the same as this Tuesday's. And it obviously won't be.

Should we really be that dismissive though? Underestimating minority turnout in 2012 didn't turn out to be such a wise decision..

...which didn't include runoffs so talk about a completely pointless post.

In 2002, minority turnout didn't drop out during the run off Phil.
Logged
KCDem
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,928


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: November 02, 2014, 08:32:46 PM »

Those are some startlingly good numbers for Landrieu in the runoff. Could she work a miracle yet again?

...the numbers are contingent on the December electorate being the same as this Tuesday's. And it obviously won't be.

Should we really be that dismissive though? Underestimating minority turnout in 2012 didn't turn out to be such a wise decision..

...which didn't include runoffs so talk about a completely pointless post.

In 2002, minority turnout didn't drop out during the run off Phil.

Don't try to reason with him, he doesn't live in reality.
Logged
Badger
badger
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,237
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: November 02, 2014, 08:52:42 PM »

Besides, he's a Pennsylvania Republican. Roll Eyes

Anyhoo, Landrieu has proven she knows how to win runoffs, so being a point down is hope. Runoff election dynamics are not the same in LA as in GA.

That said, there's a serious chance depending on the outcomes in CO, IA, AK, and KS that her (and Nunn's) runoff's could decide control of the Senate. In which case she goes from a fighting chance to probably screwed.
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,611


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: November 02, 2014, 09:49:20 PM »

Those are some startlingly good numbers for Landrieu in the runoff. Could she work a miracle yet again?

...the numbers are contingent on the December electorate being the same as this Tuesday's. And it obviously won't be.

Should we really be that dismissive though? Underestimating minority turnout in 2012 didn't turn out to be such a wise decision..

...which didn't include runoffs so talk about a completely pointless post.

In 2002, minority turnout didn't drop out during the run off Phil.

I find that somewhat hard to believe and even if true, it's far more of an exception to the rule than the rule.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #30 on: November 02, 2014, 09:57:46 PM »

Those are some startlingly good numbers for Landrieu in the runoff. Could she work a miracle yet again?

...the numbers are contingent on the December electorate being the same as this Tuesday's. And it obviously won't be.

Should we really be that dismissive though? Underestimating minority turnout in 2012 didn't turn out to be such a wise decision..

...which didn't include runoffs so talk about a completely pointless post.

In 2002, minority turnout didn't drop out during the run off Phil.

I find that somewhat hard to believe and even if true, it's far more of an exception to the rule than the rule.

It's true. In 2002, minority turnout actually increased during the runoff. I don't think Louisiana can be lumped in with Georgia in this case.

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/06/10/upshot/how-black-turnout-could-decide-senate-control.html?abt=0002&abg=1
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,611


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #31 on: November 02, 2014, 10:03:43 PM »

Impressive but still an exception rather than the rule. And the state has also become more Republican since then with a much more toxic environment for the Dems.
Logged
Pages: 1 [2]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.029 seconds with 15 queries.