Talk Elections
Forum
Contact
|
US Election Atlas
Election 2020
Election Results
Election Info
Atlas Wiki
Welcome,
Guest
. Please
login
or
register
.
Did you miss your
activation email?
February 26, 2021, 10:24:34 AM
Talk Elections
Election Archive
Election Archive
2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
2014 Senatorial Election Polls
VA- Christopher Newport: Warner starting to suck
« previous
next »
Pages:
1
[
2
]
Author
Topic: VA- Christopher Newport: Warner starting to suck (Read 6842 times)
🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
Atlas Star
Posts: 23,057
Political Matrix
E: 1.29, S: -0.70
Re: VA- Christopher Newport: Warner starting to suck
«
Reply #25 on:
November 04, 2014, 01:15:04 AM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on November 03, 2014, 11:14:32 AM
The days of >10% blowouts in VA for either side may be over. It's getting very inelastic.
I think that may be true at least for the moment.
I expect Warner will basically win the counties and cities where Cuccinelli got less than 50%, plus a couple others.
Logged
Lincoln Councillor Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Star
Posts: 24,017
Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 0.35
Re: VA- Christopher Newport: Warner starting to suck
«
Reply #26 on:
November 15, 2014, 08:36:13 PM »
This was actually the most accurate poll in VA. Wow.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
Posts: 19,338
Re: VA- Christopher Newport: Warner starting to suck
«
Reply #27 on:
November 15, 2014, 08:46:20 PM »
But this was a non-competitive race!
Logged
moderatevoter
ModerateVAVoter
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,424
Re: VA- Christopher Newport: Warner starting to suck
«
Reply #28 on:
November 15, 2014, 08:49:29 PM »
Actually, no.
This is very difficult to believe, but the most accurate poll in Virginia was a
Vox Populi
poll which had Warner up by four. Let that sink in.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Icon
Posts: 19,536
Political Matrix
E: 3.23, S: -7.48
Re: VA- Christopher Newport: Warner starting to suck
«
Reply #29 on:
November 15, 2014, 08:53:11 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on October 31, 2014, 06:55:55 PM
Still Safe D
Yep, Safe D alright
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
Atlas Legend
Posts: 42,100
Re: VA- Christopher Newport: Warner starting to suck
«
Reply #30 on:
November 15, 2014, 11:46:16 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on November 15, 2014, 08:53:11 PM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on October 31, 2014, 06:55:55 PM
Still Safe D
Yep, Safe D alright
Well, Warner won, so yes, you were correct.
Logged
Lincoln Councillor Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Star
Posts: 24,017
Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 0.35
Re: VA- Christopher Newport: Warner starting to suck
«
Reply #31 on:
November 16, 2014, 12:58:51 AM »
Quote from: Lief on November 15, 2014, 11:46:16 PM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on November 15, 2014, 08:53:11 PM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on October 31, 2014, 06:55:55 PM
Still Safe D
Yep, Safe D alright
Well, Warner won, so yes, you were correct.
Having a race as Safe D means the Democrat will definitely win, and likely do so by double digits.
The margin was so close in VA, that it makes one wonder if the race would have gone the other way had the national party invested in GOTV efforts there in the final days. Anyone who had it Safe D (myself included) made an incorrect prediction.
Logged
Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 6,031
Re: VA- Christopher Newport: Warner starting to suck
«
Reply #32 on:
November 18, 2014, 04:01:14 PM »
Quote
You must be
logged in
to read this quote.
I don't really understand all the predictions saying Warner was safe. I was hollering out at the Pubbies to GOTV, in Virginia, as that was gonna be the closest seat.
Called VA for Gillespie and NH for Brown. Other than that was pretty much on.
Logged
Skill and Chance
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 6,832
Re: VA- Christopher Newport: Warner starting to suck
«
Reply #33 on:
November 18, 2014, 04:12:41 PM »
Quote from: Wulfric on November 16, 2014, 12:58:51 AM
Quote from: Lief on November 15, 2014, 11:46:16 PM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on November 15, 2014, 08:53:11 PM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on October 31, 2014, 06:55:55 PM
Still Safe D
Yep, Safe D alright
Well, Warner won, so yes, you were correct.
Having a race as Safe D means the Democrat will definitely win, and likely do so by double digits.
The margin was so close in VA, that it makes one wonder if the race would have gone the other way had the national party invested in GOTV efforts there in the final days. Anyone who had it Safe D (myself included) made an incorrect prediction.
By all accounts, the turnout problem was worse in heavily Dem areas. Had there been Warner +1 polls circulating in early October, both parties would have put millions into the state. But the Democrats had more to gain by increasing turnout. The likely outcome would be Warner winning with Obama 2012 numbers.
Logged
Pages:
1
[
2
]
« previous
next »
Jump to:
Please select a destination:
-----------------------------
Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
-----------------------------
=> 2024 U.S. Presidential Election
===> 2024 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
===> 2024 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
=> 2020 U.S. Presidential Election
===> 2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
===> 2020 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
=> U.S. Presidential Election Results
===> 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Results
===> 2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results
===> 2008 U.S. Presidential Election Results
===> 2004 U.S. Presidential Election Results
===> 2000 U.S. Presidential Election Results
=> Presidential Election Process
===> Polling
=> Presidential Election Trends
=> Election What-ifs?
===> Past Election What-ifs (US)
===> Alternative Elections
===> International What-ifs
-----------------------------
Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
-----------------------------
=> Gubernatorial/State Elections
===> 2022 Gubernatorial Election Polls
===> 2021 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls
=> Congressional Elections
===> 2022 Senate & House Election Polls
=> International Elections
=> Election Predictions
-----------------------------
About this Site
-----------------------------
===> How To
=> The Atlas
-----------------------------
General Discussion
-----------------------------
=> Constitution and Law
=> Religion & Philosophy
=> History
===> Alternative History
-----------------------------
General Politics
-----------------------------
=> U.S. General Discussion
=> Political Geography & Demographics
=> International General Discussion
=> Economics
=> Individual Politics
=> Political Debate
===> Political Essays & Deliberation
===> Book Reviews and Discussion
-----------------------------
Election Archive
-----------------------------
=> Election Archive
===> 2018 Senatorial Election Polls
===> 2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls
===> 2016 U.S. Presidential Election
===> 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
===> 2016 Senatorial Election Polls
===> 2016 Gubernatorial Election Polls
===> 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
===> 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
=====> 2014 House Election Polls
=====> 2014 Senatorial Election Polls
===> 2012 Elections
=====> 2012 Senatorial Election Polls
=====> 2012 House Election Polls
=====> 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
=====> 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
=====> 2012 Gubernatorial Election Polls
===> 2010 Elections
=====> 2010 House Election Polls
=====> 2010 Senatorial Election Polls
=====> 2010 Gubernatorial Election Polls
===> 2008 Elections
=====> 2008 Senatorial Election Polls
=====> 2008 Gubernatorial Election Polls
=====> 2008 U.S. Presidential Election Campaign
=====> 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
=====> 2008 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
===> 2006 Elections
=====> 2006 Senatorial Election Polls
=====> 2006 Gubernatorial Election Polls
===> 2004 U.S. Presidential Election
=====> 2004 U.S. Presidential Election Campaign
=====> 2004 U.S. Presidential Election Polls
===> Town Hall
===> Survivor
===> 2020 Gubernatorial Election Polls
===> 2020 Senate & House Election Polls
-----------------------------
Forum Community
-----------------------------
=> Forum Community
===> Forum Community Election Match-ups
=> Election and History Games
===> Mock Parliament
=> Off-topic Board
-----------------------------
Atlas Fantasy Elections
-----------------------------
=> Atlas Fantasy Elections
===> Voting Booth
=> Atlas Fantasy Government
===> Constitutional Convention
===> Regional Governments
1 Hour
1 Day
1 Week
1 Month
Forever
Login with username, password and session length
Terms of Service
-
DMCA Agent and Policy
-
Privacy Policy and Cookies
Powered by SMF 1.1.21
|
SMF © 2015, Simple Machines
Page created in 0.163 seconds with 11 queries.
Loading...