|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
August 15, 2020, 05:33:07 am
News:
If you are having trouble logging in due to invalid user name / pass:

Consider resetting your account password, as you may have forgotten it over time if using a password manager.

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  2014 Senatorial Election Polls
  VA- Christopher Newport: Warner starting to suck
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2]
Author Topic: VA- Christopher Newport: Warner starting to suck  (Read 6609 times)
🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,643
Nepal


Political Matrix
E: 1.29, S: -0.70

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: November 04, 2014, 01:15:04 am »

The days of >10% blowouts in VA for either side may be over.  It's getting very inelastic.

I think that may be true at least for the moment.

I expect Warner will basically win the counties and cities where Cuccinelli got less than 50%, plus a couple others.
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,886
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: November 15, 2014, 08:36:13 pm »

This was actually the most accurate poll in VA. Wow.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,336
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: November 15, 2014, 08:46:20 pm »

But this was a non-competitive race!
Logged
ModerateVAVoter
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,424


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: November 15, 2014, 08:49:29 pm »

Actually, no.

This is very difficult to believe, but the most accurate poll in Virginia was a Vox Populi poll which had Warner up by four. Let that sink in.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,978
United States


Political Matrix
E: 3.23, S: -7.48

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: November 15, 2014, 08:53:11 pm »


Yep, Safe D alright Grin
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,063
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #30 on: November 15, 2014, 11:46:16 pm »


Well, Warner won, so yes, you were correct.
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,886
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #31 on: November 16, 2014, 12:58:51 am »

Having a race as Safe D means the Democrat will definitely win, and likely do so by double digits.

The margin was so close in VA, that it makes one wonder if the race would have gone the other way had the national party invested in GOTV efforts there in the final days. Anyone who had it Safe D (myself included) made an incorrect prediction.
Logged
IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi
Ben Kenobi
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 5,945
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #32 on: November 18, 2014, 04:01:14 pm »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

I don't really understand all the predictions saying Warner was safe. I was hollering out at the Pubbies to GOTV, in Virginia, as that was gonna be the closest seat.

Called VA for Gillespie and NH for Brown. Other than that was pretty much on.
 

 
 
Logged
Skill and Chance
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 5,539
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #33 on: November 18, 2014, 04:12:41 pm »

Having a race as Safe D means the Democrat will definitely win, and likely do so by double digits.

The margin was so close in VA, that it makes one wonder if the race would have gone the other way had the national party invested in GOTV efforts there in the final days. Anyone who had it Safe D (myself included) made an incorrect prediction.

By all accounts, the turnout problem was worse in heavily Dem areas.  Had there been Warner +1 polls circulating in early October, both parties would have put millions into the state.  But the Democrats had more to gain by increasing turnout.  The likely outcome would be Warner winning with Obama 2012 numbers.
Logged
Pages: 1 [2]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.267 seconds with 16 queries.