Hillary is only ahead because of more name recognition than Jeb Bush and the poll is also way off into the outskirts of margin of error and Kasich is actually beating her! This is totally a fair assessment and not a desperate hack rationalization in the slightest!
How is thinking that polls released 2 years in advance of election day not accurate hackish? Clinton was supposed to runaway with the Democratic nomination in 2008 too and it didn't happen.
Nope. Hillary was polling in the 30s/40s at this point in 2006, now she's polling in the 60s/70s.
Sorry but I don't believe I am being a hack because I am skeptical of these very early polls.
I still think Hilary is the favorite at this point, but a lot of Democrats expecting her to win 330+ electoral votes are way out of touch with reality.
How is thinking Hillary could do better than Obama did in 2012 out of touch with reality?
Because it is too early to understand what the political climate will be, and who she will be facing off against in the primary and in the general election.
I don't see why that means she can't possibly do better than Obama did in 2012.
She could possibly do better, but I said there are many Democrats who believe she will do better, and its too early to say that.
Why is it? That's what the polls currently say. Yes, they could easily change, but despite my reputation I've never said Hillary was a lock in the general (though I have said she's a lock in the primary, and I stand by that prediction).