FL-Gov, SEA: Great Scott in the lead (user search)
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  FL-Gov, SEA: Great Scott in the lead (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-Gov, SEA: Great Scott in the lead  (Read 959 times)
dmmidmi
dmwestmi
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,095
United States


« on: October 31, 2014, 03:02:10 PM »

So, real polls show Crist in the lead, and garbage polls show Scott in the lead. And this race is characterized as a tossup?

I can see these political forecasting meetings now:

"Well, the pros are showing that Charlie Crist is going to defeat Scott, but the idiots who don't know what they're doing are all showing a Rick Scott lead--I don't know who to believe!"
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dmmidmi
dmwestmi
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,095
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2014, 06:07:20 AM »

So, real polls show Crist in the lead, and garbage polls show Scott in the lead. And this race is characterized as a tossup?

I can see these political forecasting meetings now:

"Well, the pros are showing that Charlie Crist is going to defeat Scott, but the idiots who don't know what they're doing are all showing a Rick Scott lead--I don't know who to believe!"

The race is a tossup because the majority of the polling has the race with either a tie or slight Crist lead. It's worth noting that this particular poll was for a left-leaning group.

At the end of the day, the race slightly leans Crist, but he doesn't really have a persistent lead outside of the margin of error to call it anything other than a tossup.

The reliable pollsters are all in consensus that Crist has a small lead. Just because his lead is small, it doesn't mean it doesn't exist.
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