VA- Christopher Newport: Warner starting to suck (user search)
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  VA- Christopher Newport: Warner starting to suck (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA- Christopher Newport: Warner starting to suck  (Read 7684 times)
Skill and Chance
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« on: November 03, 2014, 11:14:32 AM »

The days of >10% blowouts in VA for either side may be over.  It's getting very inelastic.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1 on: November 18, 2014, 04:12:41 PM »

Having a race as Safe D means the Democrat will definitely win, and likely do so by double digits.

The margin was so close in VA, that it makes one wonder if the race would have gone the other way had the national party invested in GOTV efforts there in the final days. Anyone who had it Safe D (myself included) made an incorrect prediction.

By all accounts, the turnout problem was worse in heavily Dem areas.  Had there been Warner +1 polls circulating in early October, both parties would have put millions into the state.  But the Democrats had more to gain by increasing turnout.  The likely outcome would be Warner winning with Obama 2012 numbers.
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