CA: Field: Brown up 54-33

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I am thinking a 26-28 point win is likely. Maybe a little less because a lot of democrats just aren't going to bother turning out.

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Ugh, really hard to pick between >50% and >60% here.

>60% is an easy prediction since this is the top two and there are no independents/greens/libertarians in the mix. Brown should easily win by 20+. The real question is if he can crack 65%, but it's unlikely in an off year election with very low interest.

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I am thinking a 26-28 point win is likely. Maybe a little less because a lot of democrats just aren't going to bother turning out.

Realy? The poll only shows a 21 point win, and my guess is undecideds break for Kashkari.

If Brown wins whites, he will win by at least 20 points or so. If he wins whites by double digits....I think this poll more accurately represents what Kashkari ends up getting, not Brown. Let's see if I am right. The issue is that turnout could be very low which could end up limiting Browns margin of victory.

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A 20% landslide might be great but i wonder if he's going to win Orange county when he did win it in 1978 with a 19.5% margin statewide.

Probably not but it would be indicative of how big he won.

Just hoping the green and peace and freedom party doesn't decrease his margin even though they probably will.

A 30 point win would be needed for Brown to carry Orange County, especially in an off year election. I do think Brown will win a bunch of mountain counties as well as counties in the Central Valley that no one is expecting.

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It would be even better if they didn't have union connections.

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Qualifications matter more than union gripes. That last thing we need is a superintendent trying to get into big fights with unions, that's just a lot of gridlock.

Someone needs to do something. That has been my biggest disappointment with Brown.

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I totally agree with you. Schools need more funding and GOOD teachers need to be paid more. If the teachers union advocated for that, I wouldn't have a problem with them.

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I totally agree with you. Schools need more funding and GOOD teachers need to be paid more. If the teachers union advocated for that, I wouldn't have a problem with them.

Good teachers pay only part of total union dues.... It's the perils of any union shop. Dues paying bad workers need to be protected by the union as well.

And this is why I don't like unions in general.

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Kashkari is my favorite gubernatorial candidate this year (although I like Brown too.)

It's sad to see him behind by so much, but this poll seems accurate.

I don't like his obsession with the high-speed train, and his stupid stunt of dressing up like a homeless person. His focus on education is commendable though and hopefully this year is the start of a shakeup of the California K-12 education system. Go Marshall Tuck!

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Kashkari is my favorite gubernatorial candidate this year (although I like Brown too.)

It's sad to see him behind by so much, but this poll seems accurate.

I don't like his obsession with the high-speed train, and his stupid stunt of dressing up like a homeless person. His focus on education is commendable though and hopefully this year is the start of a shakeup of the California K-12 education system. Go Marshall Tuck!

Kashkari's opposition to the high-speed train is the only thing I don't like about him. I also think his focus on education is great. The main reason I like Kaskhari is because we are both moderate Republicans who happen to be Indian-Americans. Almost all of the Indians I know are Democrats. Bobby Jindal and Nikki Haley are both far-right nut jobs, so I don't like them.

She's Indian?

Oh yeah. A turbaned one too.