FL-Gov, SEA: Great Scott in the lead

[krazen1211]

Link

Scott 47
Crist 44



Given that Charlie is a Democrat, a Republican, and an Independent, this looks like a great triple thrashing. Of course there's that Senate seat in 2016....

[IceSpear]

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HAHAHAHAHAHAHA

Is this the only poll in a year to show the criminal as popular? I think I'll take Quinnipiac and the stellar Democratic early voting numbers over this junk poll.

[Lief 🗽]

Scott with positive approvals and favorability?

Throw this one in the trash and then light the trash on fire and then throw the ashes in the garbage.

[tmthforu94]

Great Rick Scott is on his way to a thrashing of two-faced Charlie!

[dmmidmi]

So, real polls show Crist in the lead, and garbage polls show Scott in the lead. And this race is characterized as a tossup?

I can see these political forecasting meetings now:

"Well, the pros are showing that Charlie Crist is going to defeat Scott, but the idiots who don't know what they're doing are all showing a Rick Scott lead--I don't know who to believe!"

[Recalcuate]

So, real polls show Crist in the lead, and garbage polls show Scott in the lead. And this race is characterized as a tossup?

I can see these political forecasting meetings now:

"Well, the pros are showing that Charlie Crist is going to defeat Scott, but the idiots who don't know what they're doing are all showing a Rick Scott lead--I don't know who to believe!"

The race is a tossup because the majority of the polling has the race with either a tie or slight Crist lead. It's worth noting that this particular poll was for a left-leaning group.

At the end of the day, the race slightly leans Crist, but he doesn't really have a persistent lead outside of the margin of error to call it anything other than a tossup.

[IceSpear]

So, real polls show Crist in the lead, and garbage polls show Scott in the lead. And this race is characterized as a tossup?

I can see these political forecasting meetings now:

"Well, the pros are showing that Charlie Crist is going to defeat Scott, but the idiots who don't know what they're doing are all showing a Rick Scott lead--I don't know who to believe!"

The race is a tossup because the majority of the polling has the race with either a tie or slight Crist lead. It's worth noting that this particular poll was for a left-leaning group.

At the end of the day, the race slightly leans Crist, but he doesn't really have a persistent lead outside of the margin of error to call it anything other than a tossup.

So then Begich is ahead by 10 because that was done by a right-leaning group.

[KCDem]

Joke poll! The criminal will be sent to solitary on Tuesday.

[Recalcuate]

So, real polls show Crist in the lead, and garbage polls show Scott in the lead. And this race is characterized as a tossup?

I can see these political forecasting meetings now:

"Well, the pros are showing that Charlie Crist is going to defeat Scott, but the idiots who don't know what they're doing are all showing a Rick Scott lead--I don't know who to believe!"

The race is a tossup because the majority of the polling has the race with either a tie or slight Crist lead. It's worth noting that this particular poll was for a left-leaning group.

At the end of the day, the race slightly leans Crist, but he doesn't really have a persistent lead outside of the margin of error to call it anything other than a tossup.

So then Begich is ahead by 10 because that was done by a right-leaning group.

I didn't know that I was stating anything other than fact there. Putting bias out there is important for discussion. Wasn't my conclusion that Crist leads?

Alaska is a different animal all together and irrelevant for this discussion.

[IceSpear]

So, real polls show Crist in the lead, and garbage polls show Scott in the lead. And this race is characterized as a tossup?

I can see these political forecasting meetings now:

"Well, the pros are showing that Charlie Crist is going to defeat Scott, but the idiots who don't know what they're doing are all showing a Rick Scott lead--I don't know who to believe!"

The race is a tossup because the majority of the polling has the race with either a tie or slight Crist lead. It's worth noting that this particular poll was for a left-leaning group.

At the end of the day, the race slightly leans Crist, but he doesn't really have a persistent lead outside of the margin of error to call it anything other than a tossup.

So then Begich is ahead by 10 because that was done by a right-leaning group.

I didn't know that I was stating anything other than fact there. Putting bias out there is important for discussion. Wasn't my conclusion that Crist leads?

Alaska is a different animal all together and irrelevant for this discussion.

My point was the fact that this is by a "left leaning group" means nothing. A "left leaning group" also showed Romney ahead by 20 points in Florida in 2012.

[dmmidmi]

So, real polls show Crist in the lead, and garbage polls show Scott in the lead. And this race is characterized as a tossup?

I can see these political forecasting meetings now:

"Well, the pros are showing that Charlie Crist is going to defeat Scott, but the idiots who don't know what they're doing are all showing a Rick Scott lead--I don't know who to believe!"

The race is a tossup because the majority of the polling has the race with either a tie or slight Crist lead. It's worth noting that this particular poll was for a left-leaning group.

At the end of the day, the race slightly leans Crist, but he doesn't really have a persistent lead outside of the margin of error to call it anything other than a tossup.

The reliable pollsters are all in consensus that Crist has a small lead. Just because his lead is small, it doesn't mean it doesn't exist.

[Recalcuate]

So, real polls show Crist in the lead, and garbage polls show Scott in the lead. And this race is characterized as a tossup?

I can see these political forecasting meetings now:

"Well, the pros are showing that Charlie Crist is going to defeat Scott, but the idiots who don't know what they're doing are all showing a Rick Scott lead--I don't know who to believe!"

The race is a tossup because the majority of the polling has the race with either a tie or slight Crist lead. It's worth noting that this particular poll was for a left-leaning group.

At the end of the day, the race slightly leans Crist, but he doesn't really have a persistent lead outside of the margin of error to call it anything other than a tossup.

The reliable pollsters are all in consensus that Crist has a small lead. Just because his lead is small, it doesn't mean it doesn't exist.

No one is denying that Crist has a small lead (less than 1% according to 538).

He's a slight 3:2 favorite. (60% according to 538). However, it's nowhere near certain that he wins.

Technically, the Florida governors race belongs in the tossup category, leaning towards Crist. It's not a given that he wins.

[sg0508]

Scott's biggest and best asset is that FL has created almost a million jobs since he's taken office compared to Crist's prior tenure in which the state lost about .7 million.  Of course, that just happened to be during the recession and we know, most governors have little to do with the economic cycle.

That being said, for people who are back to work since 2008, their impression of Scott is probably better.  Scott has been playing the "economy" card very hard here in FL the past two months and why not? it's the best thing he's got.