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  Talk Elections
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  NH-Sen, New England College: Brown in the lead (search mode)
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Author Topic: NH-Sen, New England College: Brown in the lead  (Read 1658 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,957
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

« on: October 27, 2014, 05:23:43 pm »

The only junk poll to show Brown ahead continues to be a junk poll that shows Brown ahead. Big surprise.

They also show the Governor's race tied. HAHAHAHA. Why don't we play a game of "spot the outlier", you know, the game you were so fond of in Colorado?

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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,957
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2014, 07:56:53 pm »

The only junk poll to show Brown ahead continues to be a junk poll that shows Brown ahead. Big surprise.

They also show the Governor's race tied. HAHAHAHA. Why don't we play a game of "spot the outlier", you know, the game you were so fond of in Colorado?



Ah, yes. Turns out you were just a wee bit behind when you said this.
 
In fact, Udall +3 is actually closer to the average than Gardner +6 or Gardner +8 is. Median is Gardner +1 as well, Gardner +1.5 if you count the PPP poll that RCP doesn't list.


Since then, of course, Gardner has delivered numerous thrashings and increase his average to 3.2. Can't blame Scottie or New England College for joining in the fun.

If there was supposed to be a point behind this post, it was completely nonsensical. If you're implying the race actually is tied and everyone else is wrong, well, good luck with that prediction. Hope to see you here in a week. Something tells me that the trend in early October of a Senate race in Colorado and a trend in late October of a governor's race in New Hampshire won't exactly have a strong correlation, but we'll find out soon enough.

Also, it seems you don't know the difference between mean and median. I suggest you look over your middle school mathematics textbook for a reminder.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,957
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2014, 12:10:49 am »

I think Shaheen should be nervous, but if Republicans are going to expand the map, they have a better chance in North Carolina than New Hampshire.

Meh, the demographics for them are better in NH plus Brown is a better candidate than Tillis.

The word cloud begs to differ, my friend. Wink

Well, unless Tillis' would be "asshole" or "prick".
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