New CBS/NYT/YouGov polls tomorrow morning
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 19, 2024, 06:26:04 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  2014 Senatorial Election Polls
  New CBS/NYT/YouGov polls tomorrow morning
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2]
Author Topic: New CBS/NYT/YouGov polls tomorrow morning  (Read 5672 times)
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,460
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: October 26, 2014, 09:41:38 AM »

Junk poll(s)!
Logged
Mehmentum
Icefire9
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,600
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: October 26, 2014, 09:42:20 AM »

Good news out of Colorodo and Iowa, bad news for Kansas and South Dakota.  Everything else seems to be pretty much what we expected though. 

Its just a mixed bag today.
Logged
King
intermoderate
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,356
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: October 26, 2014, 09:44:31 AM »

Udall, Braley, and Hagan are totally going to win in an R+11 national house vote.  Totally.
Logged
Senator Cris
Cris
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,613
Italy


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: October 26, 2014, 09:45:49 AM »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: October 26, 2014, 09:47:46 AM »


So a narrowing Democrat lead is technically bad for them
Logged
Andrew1
Rookie
**
Posts: 102
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #30 on: October 26, 2014, 09:50:02 AM »

Mike Enzi's lead in Wyoming has gone from 75-17 to 67-27 in 3 weeks. Hardymentum! Having said that their sample is only 250 people!
Logged
Recalcuate
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 444


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #31 on: October 26, 2014, 10:14:25 AM »

Mike Enzi's lead in Wyoming has gone from 75-17 to 67-27 in 3 weeks. Hardymentum! Having said that their sample is only 250 people!

That sample could be 20. Enzi is going to crush him. Only question is whether the margin is larger in Wyoming for Enzi or Schatz in Hawaii.

It seems like both the You Gov and Marist polls are very favorable to the Republicans. Looks like 51 is very attainable with nine days to go.
Logged
eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,501
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #32 on: October 26, 2014, 10:31:05 AM »

Literally zero polls have Dem bias while a slew have a GOP bias affording to the Atlas Forum Bubble Mentality.

And according to 538. Literally no pollster have a Dem bias, only a Dem house effect.
Logged
tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #33 on: October 26, 2014, 11:23:48 AM »

Good news out of Colorodo and Iowa, bad news for Kansas and South Dakota.  Everything else seems to be pretty much what we expected though. 

Its just a mixed bag today.
I wouldn't consider it good news - they are using the same sample so Udall actually lost another 2 points.

These polls are pretty good for showing who has momentum, but I don't put too much stock in it outside of that. Based on that, Republicans have improved almost everywhere.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #34 on: October 26, 2014, 11:33:22 AM »

This is the second poll I've seen lately with a double digit Rounds lead. These are pretty garbage, but is there merit to the idea that since the National GOP has invaded South Dakota, his numbers have turned around?
Logged
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,958


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #35 on: October 26, 2014, 11:41:56 AM »

This is the second poll I've seen lately with a double digit Rounds lead. These are pretty garbage, but is there merit to the idea that since the National GOP has invaded South Dakota, his numbers have turned around?

I had thought the Rounds scandal there worsened, so he's lucky he's ahead at all.
Logged
New_Conservative
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,139
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #36 on: October 26, 2014, 11:49:56 AM »

Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #37 on: October 26, 2014, 12:03:59 PM »

They produce a general trend, but unlike 2008 and 2012 they seem to be kinda sh*tty this year (without pushing leaners at all really).
Logged
SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,003
Latvia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #38 on: October 26, 2014, 01:11:57 PM »

Does anybody else find it amusing that YouGov is not even weighted very much in the Times's own forecasting model?
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #39 on: October 26, 2014, 02:04:02 PM »

lol CO/KS. Classic YouGov. Will this be their final round of polls?
Logged
Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,710
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -5.91

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #40 on: October 26, 2014, 02:48:49 PM »

+ 1 for Uterus but + 4 for Rolling Roberts? Iowa I can sorta buy, but that's still stupid too.

Yeah, Iowa's fine, but CO and KS I'm not really buying either.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,708


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #41 on: October 26, 2014, 03:20:11 PM »

These are probably kind of crappy polls, but still, I was hoping SD would be closer.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,494
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #42 on: October 26, 2014, 03:52:35 PM »

So do the Dems gloat about these because Mark U-Haul is up one or do they disregard them because soon-to-be-re-elected Senator Roberts has a smashing four point lead?


We trust that Begich, Pryor and Landrieu, shall get us across finish line. Davis still leads Brownback and it will be a 52/48 senate, Orman caucusing with Dems, or Pryor upset.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #43 on: October 26, 2014, 03:58:48 PM »

The only one that looks off is CO. But still, >YouGov
Logged
Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,710
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -5.91

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #44 on: October 26, 2014, 04:31:00 PM »

So do the Dems gloat about these because Mark U-Haul is up one or do they disregard them because soon-to-be-re-elected Senator Roberts has a smashing four point lead?


We trust that Begich, Pryor and Landrieu, shall get us across finish line. Davis still leads Brownback and it will be a 52/48 senate, Orman caucusing with Dems, or Pryor upset.

Begich and Landrieu are shaky enough... but Pryor???
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #45 on: October 26, 2014, 06:27:32 PM »

Since this is surveying the same people, "momentum" since the last poll is arguably more important than the toplines, so here it is for the relevant races:

AK: D+2
AR: R+1
CO: R+2

GA: D+1
IA: R+1
KY: None
LA: D+2
MI: D+3
MN: D+3

MS: R+11 (McDanielites coming home for Cochran, I presume)
NH: R+2

NC: D+2
SD: D+2

VA: R+2
Logged
Mehmentum
Icefire9
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,600
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #46 on: October 26, 2014, 06:33:36 PM »

^
Seems like a wash to me.  Ultimately that's good news for Republicans. 

Logged
Pages: 1 [2]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.243 seconds with 14 queries.