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  Talk Elections
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  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  ME-Gov, Press Herald: Lepage in the lead
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Author Topic: ME-Gov, Press Herald: Lepage in the lead  (Read 2090 times)
krazen1211
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« on: October 25, 2014, 06:57:58 pm »

Link

Lepage 45
Michaud 35
Cutler 16


Dominating. What a legendary poll!
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DrScholl
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« Reply #1 on: October 25, 2014, 07:00:09 pm »

The link to the page that the poll is supposed to be on leads to an error message. Let's not start getting into making up polls, that's just pathetic.
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New_Conservative
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« Reply #2 on: October 25, 2014, 07:01:37 pm »

The link to the page that the poll is supposed to be on leads to an error message. Let's not start getting into making up polls, that's just pathetic.

Lol.
Great poll
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #3 on: October 25, 2014, 07:29:56 pm »

The poll is real, even if the link doesn't work.

Looks like the Republican Gubernatorial New England Wave is building... Sad
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: October 25, 2014, 07:32:24 pm »

>UNH

Trash it. But I can't wait to see all the blue avatars who complained about Dem hackery in the Alaska thread praise this one.
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cinyc
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« Reply #5 on: October 25, 2014, 07:32:55 pm »

The link to the page that the poll is supposed to be on leads to an error message. Let's not start getting into making up polls, that's just pathetic.

While I don't yet see the poll on the Portland Press Herald's website, I doubt an MSNBC host is making up polls.  His reputation is at stake.
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New_Conservative
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« Reply #6 on: October 25, 2014, 07:56:00 pm »

In all seriousness, this poll is an outlier and I'm not taking it seriously at this point.
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #7 on: October 25, 2014, 08:14:18 pm »

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/governor/me/maine_governor_lepage_vs_mitchell_vs_cutler-1231.html

ME-Gov was just about the biggest polling miss of 2010; the final RCP average had LePage doing 11 points better than his actual showing, so Dems can still be cautiously optimistic here.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #8 on: October 25, 2014, 08:18:59 pm »

To be fair, Pan Atlantic was the closest, and their most recent polls have shown LePage ahead.
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Flake
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« Reply #9 on: October 25, 2014, 08:34:54 pm »

New Poll: Maine Governor by University of New Hampshire on 2014-10-21

Summary: D: 35%, R: 45%, I: 16%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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IceSpear
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« Reply #10 on: October 25, 2014, 09:15:27 pm »


Interesting note: The PPP showing them tied was actually conducted AFTER this one, further confirming this is an outlier (as if that wasn't already obvious).
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #11 on: October 25, 2014, 09:28:28 pm »

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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #12 on: October 25, 2014, 09:34:56 pm »

I'd be fine with letting this poll be true if the republicans are okay with letting that alaska poll be true.
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #13 on: October 25, 2014, 09:51:41 pm »

I'd be fine with letting this poll be true if the republicans are okay with letting that alaska poll be true.

Is this poll partisan affiliated? Is there an established polling consensus for this race that this poll is substantially deviating from?
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #14 on: October 25, 2014, 09:53:51 pm »

I'd be fine with letting this poll be true if the republicans are okay with letting that alaska poll be true.

Is this poll partisan affiliated? Is there an established polling consensus for this race that this poll is substantially deviating from?

No, unlike the Alaska poll, this poll is not partisanly affiliated with the candidate they are showing losing by ten points.

Yes.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #15 on: October 25, 2014, 10:10:44 pm »

I'd be fine with letting this poll be true if the republicans are okay with letting that alaska poll be true.

Is this poll partisan affiliated? Is there an established polling consensus for this race that this poll is substantially deviating from?

No, unlike the Alaska poll, this poll is not partisanly affiliated with the candidate they are showing losing by ten points.

Yes.

Plus this is conducted by UNH, a noted terrible pollster that has wild swings for seemingly no reason.
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Free Bird
TheHawk
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« Reply #16 on: October 25, 2014, 10:14:15 pm »

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Free Bird
TheHawk
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« Reply #17 on: October 25, 2014, 10:21:08 pm »

In all seriousness, about as much of an outlier as that Michaud +6 poll
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