AK-Hellenthal (R): Begich +10
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  AK-Hellenthal (R): Begich +10
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Author Topic: AK-Hellenthal (R): Begich +10  (Read 8368 times)
Badger
badger
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« Reply #50 on: October 25, 2014, 11:17:53 AM »


Pollster stands by his poll? Shocked

And in what world does a ground game give someone a large poll lead? It would explain a candidate outperforming poll numbers, sure, but it doesn't dictate the results.

But I think I know what this pollste(R) is doing... Smiley

A campaign's ground game could make a notable difference in the likely voter model.

That said, this is an obvious outlier.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #51 on: October 25, 2014, 12:00:11 PM »

New Poll: Alaska Senator by Hellenthal & Associates on 2014-10-21

Summary: D: 49%, R: 39%, I: 7%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Ebowed
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« Reply #52 on: October 25, 2014, 02:45:45 PM »

I don't know why many here are so quick to pile on the very idea of Begich even pulling off a re-election when he generally led until a couple of months ago, has never trailed by that much, and has developed ties with the Native community (which I assume are a part of why Alaska is so difficult to accurately poll).  He is one of the better bets for a victory that will be unpredicted by the polls, if you are looking for one, IMO.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #53 on: October 25, 2014, 02:46:22 PM »

At this point, I'm only confident in predicting that the margin of victory will be between R+20 and D+20
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IceSpear
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« Reply #54 on: October 25, 2014, 03:05:31 PM »

At this point, I'm only confident in predicting that the margin of victory will be between R+20 and D+20

Do you work for the University of New Hampshire's polling department? Wink
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IceSpear
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« Reply #55 on: November 06, 2014, 02:50:49 AM »

lolololololol
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