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December 04, 2020, 12:28:33 PM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

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  New NBC/Marist polls out Sunday (AR, CO, IA, KS, NC, SD)
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Author Topic: New NBC/Marist polls out Sunday (AR, CO, IA, KS, NC, SD)  (Read 10431 times)
Devils30
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« Reply #50 on: October 26, 2014, 08:54:03 AM »

Marist had Colorado as a tie in 2012, can't say this is good for gardner. Results seem a bit odd compared to other North Carolina and Arkansas polls though.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #51 on: October 26, 2014, 09:25:47 AM »

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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #52 on: October 26, 2014, 09:26:54 AM »

Marist had Colorado as a tie in 2012, can't say this is good for gardner. Results seem a bit odd compared to other North Carolina and Arkansas polls though.

Udall only +4 with Hispanics...

Looks like Gardner is toast.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #53 on: October 26, 2014, 09:29:35 AM »

Better than I expected in Colorodo and Arkansas, worse than I expected in North Carolina and South Dakota, about what I expected in Iowa and Kansas. 

I'd say these polls are a wash, overall.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #54 on: October 26, 2014, 09:46:50 AM »

If Pryor wins, look for an upset in KY. Pryor win will signal GOP lost already, and McConnell isnt needed as majority leader.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #55 on: October 26, 2014, 09:50:18 AM »

New Poll: Colorado Senator by Marist College on 2014-10-22

Summary: D: 45%, R: 46%, I: 3%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #56 on: October 26, 2014, 09:53:37 AM »

New Poll: Iowa Senator by Marist College on 2014-10-22

Summary: D: 46%, R: 49%, I: 1%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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chrisras
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« Reply #57 on: October 26, 2014, 09:54:26 AM »

Better than you expected in Colorado??  Udall was up 6 points last month.  Now Udall is down by 1.  That is a disaster for him.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #58 on: October 26, 2014, 09:56:04 AM »

New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Marist College on 2014-10-23

Summary: D: 43%, R: 43%, I: 7%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #59 on: October 26, 2014, 09:58:06 AM »

Better than you expected in Colorado??  Udall was up 6 points last month.  Now Udall is down by 1.  That is a disaster for him.

Considering Udall's campaign was basically a complete joke over the course of that month, that isn't bad.
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Icefire9
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« Reply #60 on: October 26, 2014, 09:59:51 AM »

Better than you expected in Colorado??  Udall was up 6 points last month.  Now Udall is down by 1.  That is a disaster for him.
Have you been paying attention to any polls recently?  This is an improvement from most polls in the last few weeks (excluding internals, of course).
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #61 on: October 26, 2014, 10:00:37 AM »

New Poll: Kansas Senator by Marist College on 2014-10-22

Summary: D: 0%, R: 44%, I: 45%, U: 12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #62 on: October 26, 2014, 10:06:24 AM »

New Poll: South Dakota Senator by Marist College on 2014-10-23

Summary: D: 29%, R: 43%, I: 16%, U: 11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #63 on: October 26, 2014, 10:12:08 AM »

New Poll: Arkansas Senator by Marist College on 2014-10-23

Summary: D: 43%, R: 45%, I: 6%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #64 on: October 26, 2014, 10:12:45 AM »

Alright, all added. Sorry for the thread spam!
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Beezer
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« Reply #65 on: October 26, 2014, 10:26:12 AM »

Considering all the gloom and doom out there for Dems, being within striking distance in CO, AR, and IA is actually quite alright.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #66 on: October 26, 2014, 10:47:02 AM »

Wow, let's cheer Udall being down 1 (that will do little to reduce the average with so many polls there and DINO Mark Pryor being down 2 when the other 4 are worse than anticipated. I filly expected Ernst to be behind and Round to be a 3 way toss up with him around 36 percent. Ultra safe Kay Hagan who was supposedly only going down if the GOP got 55 seats is tied with a libertarian polling well!! That's the newsworthy part. And Roberts is only down 1! He's clearly coming back down the stretch. 2 mildly better than expected is apparently good news for Dems.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #67 on: October 26, 2014, 10:49:06 AM »

Good results for the GOP, except arguably AR and CO (although NBC/Marist's last poll was quite favorable to Udall).

Yeah, either its an outlier, or the National GOP spending money in South Dakota has worked.
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Miles
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« Reply #68 on: October 26, 2014, 11:00:07 AM »

I wish they pushed undecideds in NC.

They have Haugh at 17% (!) with Indies, which I don't really buy.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #69 on: October 26, 2014, 11:11:47 AM »

A good set of polls for Republican - not glorious, just good. Happy to see that North Carolina is still in reach.

I suspect undecideds will break for Roberts in the Senate race, based on my own intuition. People aren't too keen on Roberts, but it pales in comparison to the dislike many have for Brownback. Roberts is working hard to nationalize this race and I think it is working.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #70 on: October 26, 2014, 11:12:07 AM »

I wish they pushed undecideds in NC.

They have Haugh at 17% (!) with Indies, which I don't really buy.

Never a good thing to analyze breakdown within a subsample, but independents are largely conservatives who dislike the GOP (which is why more appropriately moderates decide elections). I feel like in NC especially, an independent is likely a former Republican who supports gay marriage and feels enlightened compared to the base. They are then attracted to the Libertarian party based solely off economics and gay marriage. Hugh at 17 percent in the subsample probably isn't that far off considering where he is in general polls and how ideologically strict the two major candidates are for their party bases. I'm not going to speculate on which way they break (because even if 17 percent seems acurate, it wI'll surely be lower at the ballot box), but it will probably be pretty even.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #71 on: October 26, 2014, 11:56:38 AM »

Hardly bad results for the Dems.

Udall is on the way to victory !
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Devils30
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« Reply #72 on: October 26, 2014, 12:22:50 PM »

With the history of Dems beating Colorado polls and many still showing Udall down single digits with whites, the GOP can't breathe easy just yet.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #73 on: October 26, 2014, 01:50:11 PM »

Interesting results. AR/CO might not be gone?, KS is still a toss up, and IA/NC look better for Rs than expected.

Looks like SD might be gone (again). I think Dems may have missed a golden opportunity here to back Pressler as soon as SUSA showed him in striking distance, but it's obviously too late now.
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Good time Sanchez has the 2020 blues.
ChairmanSanchez
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« Reply #74 on: October 26, 2014, 03:59:07 PM »

Wow. You guys are TOTAL MAX. POLITICAL FREAKS!!! You are making predictions even
for new next POLLS that will come out??? Or i am missing something here?

You do know where you are right?

Yes, among the biggest and best informed political maniacs in the world!! Smiley
Welcome to the madhouse.
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