ME-PPP: Tied at 40
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  ME-PPP: Tied at 40
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Author Topic: ME-PPP: Tied at 40  (Read 2264 times)
RogueBeaver
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« on: October 24, 2014, 09:26:20 AM »

40/40/17.
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Miles
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« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2014, 09:29:29 AM »

The bromance between LePage and Cutler at the debates was palpable; they'd team up against Michaud. Must be very frustrating for him.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2014, 09:34:11 AM »

LePage continues to improve his standing on his own.
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Dixie Reborn
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« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2014, 09:46:39 AM »

I guess it's still possible for LePage to win this...
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Miles
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« Reply #4 on: October 24, 2014, 09:49:13 AM »

New Poll: Maine Governor by Public Policy Polling on 2014-10-23

Summary: D: 40%, R: 40%, I: 17%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Safe & Legal Abortion is a Human Right
20RP12
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« Reply #5 on: October 24, 2014, 10:25:59 AM »

Ugh Cutler is really f--king Michaud over here. If LePage wins, I'm gonna be so pissed.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #6 on: October 24, 2014, 12:27:35 PM »

I think the only reason Cutler is still in this is that he truly believes he can win
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #7 on: October 24, 2014, 12:46:27 PM »

You just gotta think some of the Cutler voters will switch to Michaud at the last minute. 20% of people aren't going to waste their vote.
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #8 on: October 24, 2014, 01:02:03 PM »

You just gotta think some of the Cutler voters will switch to Michaud at the last minute. 20% of people aren't going to waste their vote.

You don't know Maine then. 20% of people are certainly willing to waste their votes.
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Spiral
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« Reply #9 on: October 24, 2014, 01:04:11 PM »

get ready for four more years atlas
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #10 on: October 24, 2014, 01:05:14 PM »

I think the only reason Cutler is still in this is that he truly believes he can win

He wouldn't be unjustified in thinking that either; the first public poll where he received a higher percentage of the vote than the Democrat in 2010 was conducted 10/25-10/27!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #11 on: October 24, 2014, 01:06:50 PM »

If/When Democrats regain control of the government, they should pass a law creating a Georgia style runoff.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #12 on: October 24, 2014, 01:29:59 PM »

The bromance between LePage and Cutler at the debates was palpable; they'd team up against Michaud. Must be very frustrating for him.

I'm starting to think Cutler might be a LePage plant.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #13 on: October 24, 2014, 04:23:06 PM »

I think the only reason Cutler is still in this is that he truly believes he can win

He wouldn't be unjustified in thinking that either; the first public poll where he received a higher percentage of the vote than the Democrat in 2010 was conducted 10/25-10/27!

I guess we'll see what this weekend has in store then
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Recalcuate
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« Reply #14 on: October 24, 2014, 06:25:40 PM »

If/When Democrats regain control of the government, they should pass a law creating a Georgia style runoff.

Makes sense since it was the DEMOCRATS in Georgia that passed a runoff law in 1917.

http://onlineathens.com/election/2014-07-19/hood-georgia-one-few-states-primary-runoff-balloting
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Badger
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« Reply #15 on: October 24, 2014, 06:52:38 PM »

If/When Democrats regain control of the government, they should pass a law creating a Georgia style runoff.

Makes sense since it was the DEMOCRATS in Georgia that passed a runoff law in 1917.

http://onlineathens.com/election/2014-07-19/hood-georgia-one-few-states-primary-runoff-balloting

And Republicans whom within the last couple years reinsituted the 50% threshold from the 45% one passed by Democrats. And this year's election is a clear reason why.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #16 on: October 24, 2014, 06:55:39 PM »

You just gotta think some of the Cutler voters will switch to Michaud at the last minute. 20% of people aren't going to waste their vote.

You don't know Maine then. 20% of people are certainly willing to waste their votes.

Actually, 53% of people are willing to waste their vote.
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Mister Mets
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« Reply #17 on: October 24, 2014, 06:58:12 PM »

Looking at the 2010 results is fascinating.

Another independent Shaun Moody got five percent of the vote. If half of his supporters went for Cutler instead, Cutler would be Governor now.

I do think Democrats are to blame for supporting Mitchell who finished a distant third over Cutler.

My guess is that Michaud wins this time. Anyone who really dislikes LePage would need Cutler to be in the lead to be comfortable voting for him. Michaud is the Congressman of half the residents so half the state is comfortable voting for him.
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #18 on: October 24, 2014, 10:30:04 PM »


Don't get my hopes up. Grin
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #19 on: October 25, 2014, 12:52:17 PM »

Looking at the 2010 results is fascinating.

Another independent Shaun Moody got five percent of the vote. If half of his supporters went for Cutler instead, Cutler would be Governor now.

I do think Democrats are to blame for supporting Mitchell who finished a distant third over Cutler.

My guess is that Michaud wins this time. Anyone who really dislikes LePage would need Cutler to be in the lead to be comfortable voting for him. Michaud is the Congressman of half the residents so half the state is comfortable voting for him.

Good analysis. Iirc Libby Mitchell's already weak standing in the polls slipped further as election day approached when it becamme clear she had no chance to win and Cutler was the de facto alternative to LePage. Now Cutler's in the spoiler role this year, and his support will slip some in the next 10 days, with Michaud being the beneficiary.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #20 on: October 25, 2014, 01:02:20 PM »

I think the only reason Cutler is still in this is that he truly believes he can win

He wouldn't be unjustified in thinking that either; the first public poll where he received a higher percentage of the vote than the Democrat in 2010 was conducted 10/25-10/27!

He probably shouldn't count on that happening again, considering he's now against a strong candidate like Michaud rather than the hapless Libby Mitchell.
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