MA: Globe has Baker +9 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 01:19:18 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  MA: Globe has Baker +9 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: MA: Globe has Baker +9  (Read 6172 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: October 23, 2014, 07:14:42 PM »

MassINC, which has been far more reliable and less volatile than the Globe poll, only has Baker like 1. Looks like an outlier.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2014, 08:54:35 PM »


They did elect Elizabeth Warren to the Senate. Coakley is just a terrible candidate.

Plus I'm not convinced Grossman or Berwick would be doing any better. MA just has no problem with electing Republican governors due to the large amount of unaffiliated voters. The fact that Democrats have been stabbing Coakley in the back since day 1 due to hurt feelings about her losing an election nearly 5 years ago certainly hasn't helped matters either.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2014, 01:24:16 PM »

While it would probably be a bad idea to infer too much from crosstabs of 33 and 27 people, respectively, the poll has Baker up 65-28 in the North Shore (MA-6), but down 40-49 in the Cape & Islands and South Coast (MA-9). Probably R and D-biased samples, respectively, but if they're anywhere near true it means Tisei has a great chance but Keating is safe.

The DCCC pulled out of MA-06 since they figured they had it locked up. The poll there that showed Tisei ahead by 3 also gave Obama a literally impossible 28-63 favorability rating in a D+4 district, so I'm skeptical about that. The dynamics of the Mass race makes it seem unlikely that Baker would have any coattails.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #3 on: October 26, 2014, 07:36:47 PM »


Which would be perfectly consistent with the MassINC poll showing her down 1.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.021 seconds with 13 queries.