WI: St. Norbert College: WPR-St. Norbert Poll Shows Walker, Burke In Tight Race (user search)
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  WI: St. Norbert College: WPR-St. Norbert Poll Shows Walker, Burke In Tight Race (search mode)
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Author Topic: WI: St. Norbert College: WPR-St. Norbert Poll Shows Walker, Burke In Tight Race  (Read 2018 times)
Eraserhead
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Posts: 44,405
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« on: October 22, 2014, 06:16:12 PM »

Gonna flip it to Burke on my map. It's time.
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Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,405
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2014, 10:49:01 PM »

Great logic, lets just shift the race to the bias it had in 2012. That's how you read a poll Atlas Forum style.

Yeah. I mean, even putting aside the Thompson result for a second, their last poll had Walker up 16 even as everyone else was showing him up 3-7.

That said, it's possible they just got better at polling. In fact, that's almost certainly the explanation, since if they still retained their Republican bias from 2012/early 2014 it would mean in reality Burke had a hefty lead, which quite obviously isn't the case. But either way, it's horrible news for Walker that his best poll now shows him in a dead heat.

Walker is in trouble, I obviously see that. But this is just 1 point away from the most recent Marquette poll and just 2 points away from the recent Rasmussen poll. We're equating this to Burke having a lead when no other evidence says that's the case.

You gotta either put the race down as tossup/Burke or tossup/Walker. I've had it at tossup/Walker for a while. It's clear that Burke has the momentum now though. Even if the race remained essentially dead even going into election day, it is Wisconsin. I'm betting on the Democrat under those conditions in Wisconsin.
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