NH-PPP: Shaheen still ahead

[IceSpear]

We'll see in two weeks just how ahead she is.

It'll be closer than I expected, but she's right on track for a W. I'd put her right about even with Kay Hagan as far as her chances go - people who for all intents and purposes should have lost, but went up against bad candidates.

I'd say Shaheen is in a better position than Hagan.

1) NH is bluer than NC.
2) She's consistently close to 50, unlike Hagan who tends to stay around 45.
3) Unlike Hagan, Shaheen has positive approvals and favorability ratings.