2020 is the Election Democrats Should Really Be Focusing On.....

[Gass3268]

How about a majority Democrat-appointed SCOTUS overturning gerrymandering in 2018-2020?

I doubt Scalia or Kennedy will retire before 2020.

Wikipedia says they're both 78 currently while Ginsburg is 81 and Breyer is 76. Is there cumulative data on the ages when Justices step down? Those four look like prime retirement candidates in the next six years.

Ginsburg (and possibly Breyer) will likely retire before 2020 if Clinton is elected. But unless their health takes a turn for the worse, I would think Kennedy and Scalia would want to hold on until at least 2020 to see if a Republican is elected.

Could you imagine the firestorm that would occur if Scalia were to die during a Clinton term?

[Gass3268]

This depressing map is now where redistricting prospects stand.  Grey states either have mixed control, are under an independent commission, or only have a single congressional district.

Connecticut has a 2/3rds requirement (which Dems don't have), and Hawaii has a commission.  But Massachusetts, Maryland and Illinois Dems can still override a veto, so they should be red.  West Virginia should be blue because they have simple-majority override and Republicans have both chambers.  Kentucky is also a simple majority state, so unless the lower house stays D for the decade, they will be able to gerrymander Yarmuth out in 2021.  And the supreme court is probably about to let Republicans redraw Arizona.  It's going to be a loooonnngggg decade for House Dems unless they get like a 61%/38% generic ballot in their favor.

What grounds with the Supreme Court be able to have Republicans get to redraw Arizona, unless they kill commissions across the country? Also I think it is possible that Kentucky GOP might keep Louisville together, similar to how the Tennessee GOP kept Nashville. Also I think they'd be setting themselves up for a court case if hey split the black ares up in Louisville.