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  CO: PPP says Gardner+3
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Author Topic: CO: PPP says Gardner+3  (Read 3726 times)
SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #50 on: October 21, 2014, 06:25:59 pm »

If it quacks like Gardner +3 generally across the board, it's Gardner's race to lose right now. Tossup/Slight Lean R.

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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #51 on: October 21, 2014, 06:34:37 pm »

Udall will still win because Bennett did, obviously. Likely D.

Gardner will win because Reagan took the state by 24 points 1980 and 28 points 1984. Safe R. /sarcasm

How does the SEC disclaimer go on publicly released 10-Ks? Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results?

I have a hard time pollsters haven't learned from their previous mistakes. If it quacks like Gardner +3 generally across the board, it's Gardner's race to lose right now. Tossup/Slight Lean R.

Most pollsters continue to have troublesome methodologies, it's a far more inexact 'science' than people realise. Most do OK and generally get it right in the end. But most of us have been around for a enough elections and CO is notorious for underpolling the Democrat, sometimes by a lot. So, at least I'm sticking by my personal view that if Udall is 3% behind or less, based on polling, he'll probably just scrape in. If that margin remains 3%+, then he'll probably lose.
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backtored
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« Reply #52 on: October 21, 2014, 06:37:28 pm »

If Republicans get the trifecta, the overreach will be huge. Beauprez thinks Obama wasn't even born here, so you can imagine what sort of craziness him and Republican legislature would come up with. That would destroy Republicans in 2016.

Wishful thinking. The Colorado Democrats (especially in the state House) are the beneficiaries of a vicious gerrymander. They cannot lose that chamber.

Not quite. The House is in play, but it leans towards the Democrats. It would take a pretty great night to take it. This poll puts the generic legislative ballot, though, at R +8, which would be amazing. So we will see what happens.
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WeAreDoomed
outofbox6
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« Reply #53 on: October 21, 2014, 07:03:34 pm »

They should Walkerize Colorado, didn't hurt them in Wisconsin.
Or maybe both states are shifting in different directions.
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Panda Express
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« Reply #54 on: October 21, 2014, 07:33:33 pm »

PPP is very good in Colorado so yeah, not a good poll for Udall. Hickenlooper is in much better shape
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IceSpear
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« Reply #55 on: October 21, 2014, 07:34:56 pm »

They should Walkerize Colorado, didn't hurt them in Wisconsin.
Or maybe both states are shifting in different directions.

It kind of did, considering he's currently in the fight of his life despite it being a decent year for Republicans.
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Maistre
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« Reply #56 on: October 21, 2014, 08:03:12 pm »

PPP is very good in Colorado so yeah, not a good poll for Udall. Hickenlooper is in much better shape

I'm glad you've come around my good man, it was not long ago you were posting stuff like this:

It turns out "bactored" means bacterial feed supplement for the use in aquaculture.

http://www.innovus.co.za/pdf_licensing_opportunities.php?pdf=783

Well Mr. Bacterial Feed Supplement, what say we have a wager, you and I.

I'm betting that BOTH Udall and Hickenlooper will win. In order for me to win, both have to win. If both or just one of them loses, you are a victor. Sounds good, no?

If I win

- You must change the color of your avatar from blue to red.
- You must admit you are retarded when it comes to Colorado politics
- You must have a picture of Mark Udall's face in your sig.

If you win

- I change the color of my avatar from red to blue
- I admit I'm retarded when it comes to Colorado politics
- I put a picture of Zooey Deschanel's face in my sig.

Come on big guy, what do you say?


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Mr. Reactionary
blackraisin
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« Reply #57 on: October 21, 2014, 10:12:34 pm »

If it quacks like Gardner +3 generally across the board, it's Gardner's race to lose right now. Tossup/Slight Lean R.
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5280
MagneticFree
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« Reply #58 on: October 21, 2014, 10:48:45 pm »

2010 poll results does not equal 2014
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #59 on: October 22, 2014, 01:38:53 am »

They should Walkerize Colorado, didn't hurt them in Wisconsin.
Or maybe both states are shifting in different directions.

It kind of did, considering he's currently in the fight of his life despite it being a decent year for Republicans.
In a race that was supposed to be Likely R (*glares at Sabato*)
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