CO-Monmouth: Gardner +1 (user search)
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  CO-Monmouth: Gardner +1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: CO-Monmouth: Gardner +1  (Read 1781 times)
Devils30
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Posts: 4,967
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Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« on: October 21, 2014, 10:49:02 AM »

As long as its still only 1-3 points for Gardner it's in play considering COs history. Still, I saw nothing wrong at all with PPPs sample.
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Devils30
YaBB God
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Posts: 4,967
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2014, 10:58:47 AM »

Gardner is clearly ahead now, you can argue that. The vote by mail and same day registration is a wildcard though. Considering Dems already beat polling numbers before this it adds something more to the uncertainty. Really will not know the truth until 11 pm in two weeks.
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Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,967
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2014, 11:33:59 AM »

Probably a couple points less white and more latino. That's about it. Buck  won whites by 7% and lost by 1.6. I assume Udall can lose whites by 9-10 with demographic change and win but once his deficit gets into the 11-13% range like the PPP poll I don't see it.
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Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,967
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2014, 01:10:18 PM »

The CO senate could be interesting because the districts that the GOP won in the recalls are very Democratic and with even moderate turnout could flip back even in a bad Dem year.
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