WI: PPP for National Journal: Walker +1 (user search)
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  WI: PPP for National Journal: Walker +1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: WI: PPP for National Journal: Walker +1  (Read 1619 times)
Lief 🗽
Lief
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Posts: 44,876


« on: October 21, 2014, 10:19:34 AM »

Democrats usually do slightly better on election day than they do in the polls (even if they end up losing anyway). Though this might just be a result of same day registration, which I think Walker and co. got rid of?
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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Posts: 44,876


« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2014, 10:38:36 AM »

Democrats usually do slightly better on election day than they do in the polls (even if they end up losing anyway). Though this might just be a result of same day registration, which I think Walker and co. got rid of?

Nope, same day registration is still possible in WI.

But not in NC.

I think WI only shortened early voting and put voting with picture ID's in place (which was then axed by the Supreme Court).

Ah, that's good to know! Walker is in pretty deep trouble with numbers like this then.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2014, 11:44:42 AM »

Past Wisconsin results:

2012 President:
RCP Avg: D +4.2
Final Result: D +6.9

2012 Senate:
RCP Avg: D +2.2
Final Result: D +5.5

2010 Governor:
RCP Avg: R +8.7
Final result: R +5.7

2010 Senate:
RCP Avg: R +7.7
Final result: R +4.9

2008 President:
RCP Avg: D +11.0
Final Result: D +13.9

IIRC, polls in 2004 and 2000 also had Bush winning Wisconsin, so this has existed for a while.

To be fair, the polling average nailed almost exactly the run-off result, but I think for obvious reasons it's okay to put an asterisk next to that.
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