NC: PPP: Hagan +3

[Free Bird]

This seems more appropriate

[Free Bird]

The North Carolina firewall is holding!!

Firewall? From what? Losing the Senate 52-48 or 53-47 vs. 54-46?

The fact that this NC race is this close with PPP, who has favored the Ds this cycle, should not be encouraging to any red avatar.

Looks like this race has gone from strong lean D to slight lean D. Tillis could win.

Proof, please.

Iowa - PPP D+1, Other polling R+1 to R+4
LA - PPP D+8, Other polling D+3 to R+4
KS - PPP I+3, Other polling (outside of obvious Rasmussen outlier) Tie to R+5

This particular poll seems more in line with the state of the race, however.

The Iowa poll was for a partisan group, so you can't really count that as the same their non-partisan polls.  

The only poll that has Roberts at +5 was Fox news, which is (needless to say) probably biased itself.  Every other recent poll has had this at roughly a tie, which is probably where the race is right now.

Citing individual cases of PPP being a few points more Democratic than other polls is not enough to statistically determine a bias.

What would then