KY-Rasmussen: McConnell+8

[Bandit3 the Worker]

For what it's worth, it is Rasmussen.

And it does contradict the past 3 polls that show Grimes ahead.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

For what it's worth, it is Rasmussen.

And it does contradict the past 3 polls that show Grimes ahead.

I see only two recent polls to show Grimes ahead, one of which was an internal. On the other hand, Fox and YouGov have both shown McConnell with comparable leads, which suggests that either SUSA was an outlier or that this race needs better pollsters.

I don't trust a word Fox says. YouGov is an Internet poll, so I don't know how accurate it is.

What about the SUSA poll that had Grimes ahead?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

\
I mentioned the SUSA poll, saying that it is either an outlier, or that better polls than Rasmussen, Fox News, and YouGov are needed to check SUSA's work.

SUSA never outlies in the Democrats' favor.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

There was also the Rollings poll that had Grimes up by 4. I never saw a word about it here.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Not really, considering McConnell's history. 2002 aside, McConnell never wins by landslide margins and is used to having competitive races - in fact his experience winning previous tough races probably helped him win this one. McConnell's win margins for all his senate races are:

1984: 0.4%
1990: 4.4%
1996: 12.6%
2002: 29.4%
2008: 6.0%

Why was he so strong in '02?

Because the Democrats in 2002 didn't even bother to recruit a top-tier candidate.

The Democrats ran Lois Combs Weinberg, who was a complete unknown, but I voted for her.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Also, the Democrats openly refused to recruit strong candidates in 2002 because 9/11 scared them. I am not making this up. I remember Rush Limbaugh gloating about it.