Unless we have a near-flip between the Democratic and Republican Parties since the 1950's (I have made suggestions that President Obama has started picking off some of the demographics of Eisenhower voters of the 1950s) and Hillary Clinton holds onto those, Hillary Clinton is not going to win anything like 55% of the Presidential vote in Florida. Has the "Rational Right" started to drift Democratic without going to the political Left?
A few pointers:
1. Air strikes will at most weaken ISIS. The Air Force does not take territory or prisoners.
2. The economy can melt down. We have had a recovery that may begin to unravel at any time.
3. The Republicans have deep pockets for political campaigns.
4. The Republicans know how to exploit fear even if they are culpable of creating the fearsome situation. "Peonage or death!" is as vile an offer as "Your money or your life!" -- but it has proved effective at times.
If the Republican nominee is Ted Cruz, Bobby Jindal, etc. Clinton will do reasonably well with the Republican electorate.
