73% of moderates - a future necessity for democrats? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 19, 2024, 01:22:46 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 100% pro-life no matter what)
  73% of moderates - a future necessity for democrats? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: 73% of moderates - a future necessity for democrats?  (Read 2028 times)
Clarko95 📚💰📈
Clarko95
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,599
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -5.61, S: -1.96

« on: October 11, 2014, 06:13:47 PM »
« edited: October 11, 2014, 06:15:24 PM by Clarko95 »

Where are you getting these numbers from? These were the breakdowns in 2012:

Liberals (25%): 86-11 Obama
Moderates (40%): 56-41 Obama
Conservatives (35%): 82-17 Romney

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_2012#Voter_demographics
Also notice how Obama won ~20% of Conservatives in 2008 and 2012. This is partially because a lot of black voters identify as conservative (primarily on cultural issues) but still vote Democrat.

Additionally, the number of self-identified moderates has dropped from 50% in 2000 as the number of liberals and conservatives rise. That's a combination of a greater focus on base turnout starting in 2004, as well as more people being honest about their true ideology.

The opposite is true for people calling themselves independents and Republicans; the GOP has become so embarrassing that many call themselves independent while still voting Republican, which is why Romney won the indy vote but still lost the election.
Logged
Clarko95 📚💰📈
Clarko95
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,599
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -5.61, S: -1.96

« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2014, 07:30:08 PM »

Most people who call themselves "moderates" have been liberal in my experience.

It's the opposite in the south.

Meh, I wouldn't say that based on my experience. Usually it's:

moderate = Democrat (60%)
independent = Republican (70%)
Um, no? Moderates voted 56% - 41% for Obama, and Independents voted 50% - 45% for Romney. Check out the link IceSpear just posted.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.026 seconds with 12 queries.