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March 07, 2021, 01:55:57 PM
Talk Elections
Election Archive
Election Archive
2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
GA-Landmark: Tied race
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Topic: GA-Landmark: Tied race (Read 1258 times)
JRP1994
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,027
GA-Landmark: Tied race
«
on:
October 10, 2014, 06:38:13 PM »
http://www.wsbtv.com/news/news/local/senate-governor-races-tied-potential-runoffs-futur/nhgXw/
Carter: 45%
Deal: 45%
Hunt: 5%
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
Posts: 52,647
Re: GA-Landmark: Tied race
«
Reply #1 on:
October 10, 2014, 06:42:54 PM »
«
Edited:
October 10, 2014, 06:46:21 PM
by
Keystone Phil »
Literally tied in both the Gubernatorial and Senate races? Not exactly buying that.
Upon further review, this firm is even more laughable: dead heat now in both while their last polls showed a D+3 lead in both. Every one of their polls have shown Nunn and Carter ahead except this batch. Stick a fork in both of them.
Logged
Lincoln Councillor Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Star
Posts: 24,114
Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 0.35
Re: GA-Landmark: Tied race
«
Reply #2 on:
October 10, 2014, 06:57:08 PM »
Looks like deal is going to sneak through. Landmark has had a heavy Dem bias this year.
Logged
Where We Griff 1 We Griff All
Adam Griffin
Atlas Icon
Posts: 17,971
Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26
Re: GA-Landmark: Tied race
«
Reply #3 on:
October 10, 2014, 07:02:52 PM »
Quote from: Keystone Phil on October 10, 2014, 06:42:54 PM
Literally tied in both the Gubernatorial and Senate races? Not exactly buying that.
Upon further review, this firm is even more laughable: dead heat now in both while their last polls showed a D+3 lead in both. Every one of their polls have shown Nunn and Carter ahead except this batch. Stick a fork in both of them.
Quote from: Wulfric on October 10, 2014, 06:57:08 PM
Looks like deal is going to sneak through.
Landmark has had a heavy Dem bias this year.
MoE +/- 3.1%, and this one is within the previous two polls. The first that showed Carter with insane leads (+7 and +8) were taken at the peak of the ethics/Holly LaBerge scandal (Landmark, likewise, never showed Nunn with such massive leads during that time), and weren't ever reflective of the true nature of the race. Georgia isn't that elastic.
Landmark is a Republican firm, so you might want to ponder why they've had such a Democratic bias in the first place.
Logged
Lincoln Councillor Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Star
Posts: 24,114
Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 0.35
Re: GA-Landmark: Tied race
«
Reply #4 on:
October 10, 2014, 07:15:42 PM »
Quote from: Lowly Griff on October 10, 2014, 07:02:52 PM
Quote from: Keystone Phil on October 10, 2014, 06:42:54 PM
Literally tied in both the Gubernatorial and Senate races? Not exactly buying that.
Upon further review, this firm is even more laughable: dead heat now in both while their last polls showed a D+3 lead in both. Every one of their polls have shown Nunn and Carter ahead except this batch. Stick a fork in both of them.
Quote from: Wulfric on October 10, 2014, 06:57:08 PM
Looks like deal is going to sneak through.
Landmark has had a heavy Dem bias this year.
MoE +/- 3.1%, and this one is within the previous two polls. The first that showed Carter with insane leads (+7 and +8) were taken at the peak of the ethics/Holly LaBerge scandal (Landmark, likewise, never showed Nunn with such massive leads during that time), and weren't ever reflective of the true nature of the race. Georgia isn't that elastic.
Landmark is a Republican firm, so you might want to ponder why they've had such a Democratic bias in the first place.
republican firm or not, their polls have shown more D leaning results than any other pollster.
Logged
Badger
badger
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 30,654
Re: GA-Landmark: Tied race
«
Reply #5 on:
October 10, 2014, 07:25:17 PM »
Baring a gamechanger event, the only real question in both GA races is whether the Republicans win outright or in a runoff.
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Where We Griff 1 We Griff All
Adam Griffin
Atlas Icon
Posts: 17,971
Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26
Re: GA-Landmark: Tied race
«
Reply #6 on:
October 10, 2014, 07:30:55 PM »
Quote from: Wulfric on October 10, 2014, 07:15:42 PM
Quote from: Lowly Griff on October 10, 2014, 07:02:52 PM
Quote from: Keystone Phil on October 10, 2014, 06:42:54 PM
Literally tied in both the Gubernatorial and Senate races? Not exactly buying that.
Upon further review, this firm is even more laughable: dead heat now in both while their last polls showed a D+3 lead in both. Every one of their polls have shown Nunn and Carter ahead except this batch. Stick a fork in both of them.
Quote from: Wulfric on October 10, 2014, 06:57:08 PM
Looks like deal is going to sneak through.
Landmark has had a heavy Dem bias this year.
MoE +/- 3.1%, and this one is within the previous two polls. The first that showed Carter with insane leads (+7 and +8) were taken at the peak of the ethics/Holly LaBerge scandal (Landmark, likewise, never showed Nunn with such massive leads during that time), and weren't ever reflective of the true nature of the race. Georgia isn't that elastic.
Landmark is a Republican firm, so you might want to ponder why they've had such a Democratic bias in the first place.
republican firm or not, their polls have shown more D leaning results than any other pollster.
Yeah, to the point of lunacy and trolling. Now they're moving back to where the race has been all along, so that some will still consider them to be a credible polling firm when one candidate or another wins in the low single digits.
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Lincoln Councillor Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Star
Posts: 24,114
Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 0.35
Re: GA-Landmark: Tied race
«
Reply #7 on:
October 10, 2014, 07:37:36 PM »
Quote from: Badger on October 10, 2014, 07:25:17 PM
Baring a gamechanger event, the only real question in both GA races is whether the Republicans win outright or in a runoff.
I'm thinking runoff, but either is plausible.
Logged
Badger
badger
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 30,654
Re: GA-Landmark: Tied race
«
Reply #8 on:
October 10, 2014, 07:55:18 PM »
Quote from: Wulfric on October 10, 2014, 07:37:36 PM
Quote from: Badger on October 10, 2014, 07:25:17 PM
Baring a gamechanger event, the only real question in both GA races is whether the Republicans win outright or in a runoff.
I'm thinking runoff, but either is plausible.
Yeah, my money's on runoffs too.
Logged
KCDem
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,929
Re: GA-Landmark: Tied race
«
Reply #9 on:
October 10, 2014, 11:33:49 PM »
Deal will lose.
Logged
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