KS-CNN/ORC: Exact Tie

[JRP1994]

http://www.cnn.com/2014/10/08/politics/kansas-senate-poll/index.html

Brownback: 49%
Davis: 49%

[Lief 🐋]

I doubt it, but okay.

[IceSpear]

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

[ElectionsGuy]

Something different, little skeptical but certainly promotes the idea that this is a toss-up.

[backtored]

Sam the man.

[King]

>98% have made a decision

[Keystone Phil]

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

[IceSpear]

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

Sammy better start clicking his heels, because soon he won't be in Kansas anymore.

[SPC]

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

[Keystone Phil]

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.

[DrScholl]

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Yes, read him.

[Keystone Phil]

I'm really shocked that the people complaining about someone else taking things too seriously are taking things too seriously themselves! Shocked, I tell you!

[Illuminati Blood Drinker]

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.

Keystone Phil confirmed to be 5 years old.

[Joshua]

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.

Keystone Phil confirmed to be 5 years old.

Am Phil's mom, can confirm.

[Lincoln Speaker Dwarven Dragon]

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.

Keystone Phil confirmed to be 5 years old.

Am Phil's mom, can confirm.

Physically impossible, Phil joined in '04. I suggest getting back on topic.

[Badger]

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.

Yeah, sometimes when one gets burned that bad, a coherent response is not readily available.

[Keystone Phil]

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.

Yeah, sometimes when one gets burned that bad, a coherent response is not readily available.

As I said in another thread, maybe the people that groan about how I have to "calm down" can possibly convince themselves that my tone in these posts aren't exactly as serious as you think...Maybe demonstrate some, hmmm, epistemic uncertainty of their own.

[KCDem]

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.

Yeah, sometimes when one gets burned that bad, a coherent response is not readily available.

As I said in another thread, maybe the people that groan about how I have to "calm down" can possibly convince themselves that my tone in these posts aren't exactly as serious as you think...Maybe demonstrate some, hmmm, epistemic uncertainty of their own.

When he gets called out for his childish ways, he claims to be 'joking'. He's clearly not ready for primetime.

[Andrew1]

Davis has held a narrow lead all year, but this race does seem to be tightening. I doubt the strip club incident made much difference, the sort of very socially conservative voters who would be affected by this are likely to be solid Brownback supporters.

But Davis has had to keep a lot of moderate Republicans on his side all year, I can believe that after an intense campaign some of them are just naturally drifting back to Brownback, despite all his faults.

Polls have shown Davis getting up to 27% of the Republican vote. He may find that difficult to maintain. I suspect this race goes right down to the wire, neither candidate will win by more than 1%.

[Chief Justice windjammer]

Impossible.

You can't have only 2% undecided right now.

[Keystone Phil]

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.

Yeah, sometimes when one gets burned that bad, a coherent response is not readily available.

As I said in another thread, maybe the people that groan about how I have to "calm down" can possibly convince themselves that my tone in these posts aren't exactly as serious as you think...Maybe demonstrate some, hmmm, epistemic uncertainty of their own.

When he gets called out for his childish ways, he claims to be 'joking'. He's clearly not ready for primetime.

I pray for you.