NBC/Marist: Davis+1 in KS, Branstad+22 in IA

[tmthforu94]

Brownback is losing independents by 15%, there is no way that he wins with numbers like that. Plus, Davis is only at 85% with Democrats, so he's got room to boost that by at least 7-8%.

That is not a comeback for Brownback. But, some people will screech, "IT'S NOT OVER"!!!!!!

Brownback can win even if he loses the Indy vote in a landslide - all he needs to do is consolidate the GOP.

Brownback has been campaigning hard for the past month - it doesn't surprise me to see him tying it up. He is a much better politician than Roberts.

[tmthforu94]

Brownback is losing independents by 15%, there is no way that he wins with numbers like that. Plus, Davis is only at 85% with Democrats, so he's got room to boost that by at least 7-8%.

That is not a comeback for Brownback. But, some people will screech, "IT'S NOT OVER"!!!!!!

Brownback can win even if he loses the Indy vote in a landslide - all he needs to do is consolidate the GOP.

Brownback has been campaigning hard for the past month - it doesn't surprise me to see him tying it up. He is a much better politician than Roberts.

I think you are forgetting that a big chunk of the Republican vote is from independents, so no, Brownback cannot lose independents in a landslide and still win.

I am aware, thank you. Even so, it does not take away from the fact that nearly half of the vote will come from folks who are registered Republicans - if Brownback can consolidate that vote he can afford to lose the Independent vote by 20 points. Your argument would make sense if this was a state with demographics like Ohio or even an Indiana/Missouri, but not in Kansas.