IA: Braley +1 in internal

[DrScholl]

Remember, Democratic internals are generally on the mark. All he has to do is make sure he gets his base out to close strongly. Ernst is basically only pulling Romney's number, so at this point, it's still not a done deal.

[DrScholl]

The thing is, there is not a whole lot of variance between this poll and PPP's.

And, in 2010, internals were more accurate that pollsters. Sharron Angle was up in every independent poll, but Reid's internals showed a different story, so there are exceptions. Ground game can make up a 1-2 point gap and full expect Braley to do that.

[DrScholl]

The thing is, there is not a whole lot of variance between this poll and PPP's.

And, in 2010, internals were more accurate that pollsters. Sharron Angle was up in every independent poll, but Reid's internals showed a different story, so there are exceptions. Ground game can make up a 1-2 point gap and full expect Braley to do that.

Citing one situation does not make it true, especially a situation as odd as Angle v. Reid.

I stated a situation and refuted your point, I didn't say every single internal is more accurate. Democratic internals do have a high level of accuracy and it's not like this one is so far off what PPP is stating.

[DrScholl]

The only meltdown that will occur is if Republicans fail to take the Senate.

[DrScholl]

The disappearing act is what many Republicans here pulled after 2012, there was some who were beyond overconfident about Romney winning and they were gone after the results proved them wrong. After 2010, I don't recall many Democrats leaving the board.