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  Talk Elections
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  WI: Gravis: Burke in the lead
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Author Topic: WI: Gravis: Burke in the lead  (Read 3056 times)
Miles
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« on: September 29, 2014, 10:37:00 am »
« edited: September 29, 2014, 10:40:00 am by Miles »

Report.

Burke (D)- 50%
Walker (R)- 45%

Row offices:

SOS
LaFollette (D)- 50%
Bradley (R)- 37%

Treasurer
Leeper (D)- 38%
Melchert (R)- 35%
Hardy (G)- 10%
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #1 on: September 29, 2014, 10:40:11 am »

Wew, thnx for leading union busting Walker.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: September 29, 2014, 10:42:07 am »
« Edited: September 29, 2014, 10:43:55 am by Gass3268 »

Gravis is usually awful, hopefully this is a blind squirrel finding a nut situation. Regardless, this is going to be the closest of the 3 races for Walker.
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« Reply #3 on: September 29, 2014, 10:54:40 am »

Gravis is never overly favorable to Democrats, so this is good.
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #4 on: September 29, 2014, 11:12:29 am »

Lol
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #5 on: September 29, 2014, 11:22:12 am »

Good to know with school unions like Burke and Vallas running on behalf of Quinn, we break union busters like Rauner and Walker.


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Free Bird
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« Reply #6 on: September 29, 2014, 11:24:19 am »

lolgravis
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #7 on: September 29, 2014, 01:25:38 pm »

Burke must be up like 12 when you unskew this. Very bad news.
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Tirnam
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« Reply #8 on: September 29, 2014, 01:46:56 pm »

In the same poll they found Burke up by 5 against Walker and Clinton only by 1 against Ryan ?
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #9 on: September 29, 2014, 01:50:46 pm »

Gravis is bad but they're usually bad in the Republican's direction. Marquette will have a poll out later this week; we'll see what they say.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #10 on: September 29, 2014, 02:20:31 pm »

Gravis is bad but they're usually bad in the Republican's direction. Marquette will have a poll out later this week; we'll see what they say.

word son.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #11 on: September 29, 2014, 03:17:21 pm »

Gravis = Republican bias therefore Burke is leading by a ton despite the fact that 3 other well-respected recent polls beg to differ! (liberal hack response)

Also, Melchert isn't even the republican nominee for Treasurer. What a massive fail.
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #12 on: September 29, 2014, 03:32:49 pm »
« Edited: September 29, 2014, 03:35:03 pm by eric82oslo »

If we take the average of the 4 September polls from Wisconsin, we get this:

Gravis: Burke +5%
Rasmussen: Walker +2%
Marquette University: Walker +3%
WeAskAmerica: Burke +4%

Average: Burke +1%
Median: Burke +1%

Also, three of the four pollsters above have a heavy Republican bias according to 538, as one can see here below:

Gravis: R +1.4%
Rasmussen: R +2.3%
Marquette University: R +0.0%
WeAskAmerica: R +1.5%

That's an average Republican bias of 1.3%. Subtract the Republican bias from Burke's average lead in September, and her lead increases from +1% to +2.3%.
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #13 on: September 29, 2014, 03:38:01 pm »

A good hint, but I'll wait for Marquette to make any conclusions on the race.
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KCDem
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« Reply #14 on: September 29, 2014, 04:29:41 pm »

Gravis is junk.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #15 on: September 29, 2014, 05:24:14 pm »


Sweet Jesus KC just made sense
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #16 on: September 29, 2014, 05:47:17 pm »



There are minority voters who are just starting to pay attention now, and young voters to election, and they are warming up to Dems again. Just like the Tribune poll showed Quinn in lead.


Walker as well as Rauner are running against the teachers union in Vallas on behalf of Quinn and Burke.

We will see if other polls corroberate.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #17 on: September 29, 2014, 08:18:49 pm »

>Gravis
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krazen1211
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« Reply #18 on: October 03, 2014, 07:42:48 am »

Gravis is recalling this junk poll.
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Badger
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« Reply #19 on: October 03, 2014, 10:21:22 am »

RdO
Recalling? As in publically disavowing?
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Miles
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« Reply #20 on: October 03, 2014, 10:52:23 am »

RdO
Recalling? As in publically disavowing?

They didn't weigh for geography, unlike Marquette.

Similarly, UNH recalled their NH-02 poll earlier this week. They put out new numbers yesterday which showed an increased Democratic lead. You're not gonna see Krazen pointing that one out, though.
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Joshua
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« Reply #21 on: October 03, 2014, 11:03:28 am »

RdO
Recalling? As in publically disavowing?

Why don't they just recall the entire Gravis Marketing company while they're at it.
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MurrayBannerman
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« Reply #22 on: October 03, 2014, 12:00:15 pm »

Gravis = Republican bias therefore Burke is leading by a ton despite the fact that 3 other well-respected recent polls beg to differ! (liberal hack response)

Also, Melchert isn't even the republican nominee for Treasurer. What a massive fail.

I lol'd
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DrScholl
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« Reply #23 on: October 03, 2014, 04:38:29 pm »

Walker's people must have come down on them really hard for this poll.
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