Like I said earlier, we can hold the senate wih CO or AK while keeping NC and Orman playimg ball. And we still have Mary Landrieu.
Landrieu is far from a sure thing. Louisiana is much more of a republican state than it was in 2002 (the last time Landrieu won a runoff), and this isn't 2008 either (when Landrieu rode the democratic wave to victory without a runoff). I won't be surprised at all if Landrieu loses her 3rd runoff. The only recent, non-internal, conceivably correct poll is from Rassy (Cassidy +3), so it's really impossible to know where the race truly stands, at least until next week when PPP finally polls this ridiculously underpolled race. But force me to choose right now, and I'd say Cassidy.
