VA-Roanoke College: Warner+18

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Politico: Warner's still very vulnerable!

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Warner's only polling at 51%, which suggests a stronger challenger may have had a real shot (Bill Bolling, or maybe McDonnell/Obenshain/Forbes) . But Gillespie isn't the right one, and Warner may even lead at the beginning of the count despite VA's republican counting bias. (In order to be leading at the beginning of the count as a democrat in Virginia, you need to win the election by ~16 points+, and Warner appears to be reaching and exceeding that threshold)

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Politico: Warner's still very vulnerable!

-----------

Warner's only polling at 51%, which suggests a stronger challenger may have had a real shot (Bill Bolling, or maybe McDonnell/Obenshain/Forbes) . But Gillespie isn't the right one, and Warner may even lead at the beginning of the count despite VA's republican counting bias. (In order to be leading at the beginning of the count as a democrat in Virginia, you need to win the election by ~16 points+, and Warner appears to be reaching and exceeding that threshold)

Been following the news about him lately?

Anyway, Ed Gillespie is clearly on track to give Warnercare a good thrashing.

That's why I put 'maybe' before listing his name.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Warner would be doing even better if he came out against "right-to-work."

That would harm his status as a moderate and knock him down a few points. Part of why Warner is so safe is because he's not a Warren/Baldwin type of liberal.