AK: PPP: Close race (user search)
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  AK: PPP: Close race (search mode)
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Author Topic: AK: PPP: Close race  (Read 5223 times)
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« on: September 23, 2014, 11:54:52 AM »

Cue people starting to deem PPP garbage.

By the way, clever titling there.
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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #1 on: September 23, 2014, 01:43:05 PM »

^
Your a broken record.

Anyway, sounds about right. Begich is a great senator but Alaska is still Ruby Red.

I agree with the later statement
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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #2 on: September 23, 2014, 01:44:21 PM »


How's it clever?

I appreciate the compliment, but I actually wasn't being that creative. If you click the link, PPP actually has the almost same title for their report!

Only clever by saying "close race" instead of "Sullivan maintaining traction" or something. I'm not even mad, it's just a psychological thing I notice a lot of people do.
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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #3 on: September 23, 2014, 10:25:21 PM »
« Edited: September 23, 2014, 11:02:07 PM by FreedomHawk »

Both PPP and Ras have Sullivan up 2. Don't really see how that translates to a "lean R" race, especially considering the quality (or lack thereof) of Alaska polling.

Nate Silver wrote that Republicans are historically underestimated in Alaska polls by an average of 7.2%, so if that plays out this year, we could have a Lean Republican race on our hands. Nevertheless, with Alaska's polling quality so low as you mentioned, we probably won't be able to say how this race will go with any degree of confidence anyhow.

Too bad they didn't include the 2010 Senate race where the Republican was consistently overestimated.
'

Perhaps because there were 3 people, and a Rep won anyway?
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #4 on: September 23, 2014, 10:26:13 PM »

As long as we win KS and NC and win AK or CO we should be able to hold senate as long as Orman plays ball.

But I am skeptical about this poll.

And people called me crazy
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