MA-Rasmussen: Tied race
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Author Topic: MA-Rasmussen: Tied race  (Read 1709 times)
JRP1994
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« on: September 21, 2014, 07:46:11 AM »

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/massachusetts/election_2014_massachusetts_governor

Coakley: 42%
Baker: 42%

Scott Brown probably made a huge mistake not running for this rather than NH Sen.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: September 21, 2014, 10:27:57 AM »

CoakleyLOL.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #2 on: September 21, 2014, 10:35:48 AM »


Meh, I think this race was Toss-up or Lean D with or without Coakley. It's just a better narrative for Democrats if Coakley loses because of Coakley, instead of Baker winning because of his merits as a candidate.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #3 on: September 21, 2014, 11:09:31 AM »

Yeah, not having Coakley wouldn't make this Safe D. According to hypothetical polling, the democrats having Berwick, Kayeem, or Avellone as their nominee would have actually made this a Likely R race. With everyone else, it'd be a tossup, or at the low end of Lean D/Lean R. The only democrat that looks they would have defeated Baker easily would be (congressman) Joseph P. Kennedy II.

MA is purple-blue when it comes to gubernatorial elections. Democrats have their huge registration advantage, but the right sort of republican can still do quite well.



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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: September 21, 2014, 12:40:39 PM »


Brown didn't want to be governor, because then he'd actually have to govern. He prefers to be a senator, where all you have to do is show up and vote the way the Kochs tell you to.
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GaussLaw
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« Reply #5 on: September 21, 2014, 05:19:05 PM »


Eh, he might actually win that senate race and that's his preferred job (as IceSpear pointed out).  Also, a Baker-Brown primary might not have ended well for the MAGOP.
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Mister Mets
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« Reply #6 on: September 21, 2014, 09:34:37 PM »


Eh, he might actually win that senate race and that's his preferred job (as IceSpear pointed out).  Also, a Baker-Brown primary might not have ended well for the MAGOP.
It could work out better for Republicans to have two competitive races rather than just one.
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pendragon
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« Reply #7 on: September 22, 2014, 11:29:35 PM »

If Brown wanted to be a senator he probably should have stayed here too; it's not like Markey is super-popular, and if he lost he could always come back, whereas if he loses after carpetbagging to NH his career is over.

I do have to say that I found his move to NH pretty mystifying.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #8 on: September 22, 2014, 11:48:09 PM »

Sort of skeptical of this. I think Coakley is leading, but she's on a trend to blow another race in a deep blue state.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #9 on: September 22, 2014, 11:57:28 PM »

If Brown wanted to be a senator he probably should have stayed here too; it's not like Markey is super-popular, and if he lost he could always come back, whereas if he loses after carpetbagging to NH his career is over.

I do have to say that I found his move to NH pretty mystifying.
Scott Brown wants to have a seat that can be kept long-term much easier than one in Massachusetts. It's much easier to get reelected as a republican in NH then it is as a republican in MA. The problem is that the act of getting the office in the first place is hard when you're up against a popular senator and are carpetbagging. Hillary Clinton could do it because NY is deeply blue and Lazio was a mediocre candidate - and even then, she ran significantly behind Al Gore. Unfortunately for Brown, NH is not deeply red, and Shaheen remains a formidable candidate.
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SWE
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« Reply #10 on: September 23, 2014, 05:25:55 AM »


Eh, he might actually win that senate race and that's his preferred job (as IceSpear pointed out).  Also, a Baker-Brown primary might not have ended well for the MAGOP.
No he can't. He could've won MA-Gov, but he has no chance in New Hampshire
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #11 on: September 26, 2014, 10:18:34 PM »

New Poll: Massachusetts Governor by Rasmussen on 2014-09-17

Summary: D: 42%, R: 42%, I: 5%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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