PA-Muhlenberg: Wolf up 21 points

[Keystone Phil]

I'm sure that many congressional/various local candidates are concerned about the size of the margin.

This puts exactly zero House seats in play.

[Keystone Phil]

I'm sure that many congressional/various local candidates are concerned about the size of the margin.

This puts exactly zero House seats in play.

Your boneheadedness is getting old.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17yr9mcAtuUdNjI9NEPYKxXsEldzzQ2ZaDwEAbnPRyS4/edit#gid=243225914

Uh. What does that prove?

Let's make a little bet, KC! If any GOP Congressional seat in PA is lost to the Dems in 2014, I'll leave the Forum. Forever. You must think there is at least one seat in play so show some guts and agree to leave for only a month - just one, full month! - if no seat flips from R to D in PA in 2014.

[Keystone Phil]

I'm sure that many congressional/various local candidates are concerned about the size of the margin.

This puts exactly zero House seats in play.

Your boneheadedness is getting old.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17yr9mcAtuUdNjI9NEPYKxXsEldzzQ2ZaDwEAbnPRyS4/edit#gid=243225914

Uh. What does that prove?

Let's make a little bet, KC! If any GOP Congressional seat in PA is lost to the Dems in 2014, I'll leave the Forum. Forever. You must think there is at least one seat in play so show some guts and agree to leave for only a month - just one, full month! - if no seat flips from R to D in PA in 2014.

I never claimed that the Democrats would win a seat. You're the one who refuses to accept the fact that there is a lot of uncertainty with regard to what is going on down ballot in Pennsylvania. Since you're so certain, I encourage you to share substantiated proof of your certainty.

There's zero uncertainty when it comes to the Congressional races. State legislature? Sure. Congressional? No.

[Keystone Phil]

I'm sure that many congressional/various local candidates are concerned about the size of the margin.

This puts exactly zero House seats in play.

Your boneheadedness is getting old.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17yr9mcAtuUdNjI9NEPYKxXsEldzzQ2ZaDwEAbnPRyS4/edit#gid=243225914

Uh. What does that prove?

Let's make a little bet, KC! If any GOP Congressional seat in PA is lost to the Dems in 2014, I'll leave the Forum. Forever. You must think there is at least one seat in play so show some guts and agree to leave for only a month - just one, full month! - if no seat flips from R to D in PA in 2014.

I never claimed that the Democrats would win a seat. You're the one who refuses to accept the fact that there is a lot of uncertainty with regard to what is going on down ballot in Pennsylvania. Since you're so certain, I encourage you to share substantiated proof of your certainty.

There's zero uncertainty when it comes to the Congressional races. State legislature? Sure. Congressional? No.

So, even if F&M is right and Wolf wins by 31 (I doubt it, but it's within the realm of possibility), you don't see the 6th and/or 8th district congressional seat(s) flipping? It's worth noting that most prognosticators still have at least one of these two seats at only Likely R, which indicates a small level of uncertainty in the outcome of the race.

Read this perfectly clear post: I absolutely do not see that happening. The Gubernatorial race has had zero impact on those races. If either was to flip, it would be unrelated to Corbett. Either Fitz or Costello would have to make some fairly sizable gaffe. Other than that, neither will flip even if Wolf won by thirty points.

If either seat flips, I leave this place for good. Write it down.