NH-ARG: Shaheen+5 (user search)
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  NH-ARG: Shaheen+5 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NH-ARG: Shaheen+5  (Read 1683 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: September 16, 2014, 09:32:08 AM »

50-45 Shaheen/Brown

http://americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/senate14
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: September 16, 2014, 09:48:36 AM »

ARG's back? Truly we are in the darkest of times.

Finally, some quality polling to tell us exactly what's happening here. I'd like to thank the fine men and women at ARG for making this possible.

So Shaheen really is in trouble then? Damn.

...

How ARG conducts their polling:

First, numbers are picked randomly out of a hat


Then, through a contract with the local school district, third grade students are told to take the numbers and use them as variables in the "The Supersecret Highly Intelligent Turnout formula", hereafter known as The S.H.I.T. formula

It doesn't matter if they do the math correctly - that's what the margin of error is for

ARG then randomly calls a number determined by The S.H.I.T. formula. Racial turnout is based upon what color pen the third-graders used

ARG then subtracts 7 from one of the candidates totals, 'cause 7 is their lucky number

NOTE: ARG is currently considering switching to a new polling methodology involving bloodhounds, a bundle of bananas, and a bingo parlor off I-67
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #2 on: September 17, 2014, 03:30:27 AM »


Dave, you entered this the wrong way:

The margin is 50-45 (among likely voters), 47-45 is among registered voters.

At this point, we should put LV polls into the database, no ?
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