ME-PPP/MCVAF: Michaud+1 (user search)
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  ME-PPP/MCVAF: Michaud+1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: ME-PPP/MCVAF: Michaud+1  (Read 3235 times)
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« on: September 15, 2014, 01:58:19 PM »

Muh Democratic Party

Glad to see Michaud is complacent. Cutler has even lower numbers than before and yet it looks like LePage is turning this around. This will be close either way, and I suspect Michaud wins this anyway, but this is now a Toss-up (Tilt D), not the Lean D I originally thought it would be.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #1 on: September 15, 2014, 03:11:42 PM »

Muh Democratic Party

Glad to see Michaud is complacent. Cutler has even lower numbers than before and yet it looks like LePage is turning this around. This will be close either way, and I suspect Michaud wins this anyway, but this is now a Toss-up (Tilt D), not the Lean D I originally thought it would be.

I'll have to disagree. Cutler will probably get more than 11% and that is only bad news for Michaud. Considering muh PPP is generally left leaning, I'm optimistic

Take a look at Cutler's trajectory in wiki. Cutler is trending downward. And yet LePage is continuing to hold on. Even in a two-way match-up, Michaud has been shrinking to only a 4 point lead over LePage (last PPP poll showed Michaud up 7 to LePage head-to-head, the one before that [admittedly nearly a year ago] had Michaud up 14 to LePage). This is a sign of LePage's own improvement in spite of Cutler's constant downward trend.
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