ME-PPP/MCVAF: Michaud+1 (user search)
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  ME-PPP/MCVAF: Michaud+1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: ME-PPP/MCVAF: Michaud+1  (Read 3006 times)
KCDem
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,928


« on: September 15, 2014, 10:37:21 AM »

The result is tight because this poll is meant to encourage liberal donors and voters to not get complacent. LePage is toast.
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KCDem
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,928


« Reply #1 on: September 16, 2014, 07:15:03 AM »

Muh Democratic Party

Glad to see Michaud is complacent. Cutler has even lower numbers than before and yet it looks like LePage is turning this around. This will be close either way, and I suspect Michaud wins this anyway, but this is now a Toss-up (Tilt D), not the Lean D I originally thought it would be.

I'll have to disagree. Cutler will probably get more than 11% and that is only bad news for Michaud. Considering muh PPP is generally left leaning, I'm optimistic

Yet still among the most accurate?

Perhaps because 2012 was just a good year for the left in general? Not saying they're unrelated, but the correlation, from what I have seen, doesn't occur in non-left favored cycles

Wha? It doesn't usually work like that. PPP actually had the smallest house effect in 2010 as well. Rasmussen did badly in 2010 and by that reasoning they should have done well in a 'right' year.

Don't try to reason with people like him. They don't, and rather just yell "muh freduhm!!!"
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KCDem
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,928


« Reply #2 on: September 16, 2014, 07:29:37 PM »

Muh Democratic Party

Glad to see Michaud is complacent. Cutler has even lower numbers than before and yet it looks like LePage is turning this around. This will be close either way, and I suspect Michaud wins this anyway, but this is now a Toss-up (Tilt D), not the Lean D I originally thought it would be.

I'll have to disagree. Cutler will probably get more than 11% and that is only bad news for Michaud. Considering muh PPP is generally left leaning, I'm optimistic

Yet still among the most accurate?

Perhaps because 2012 was just a good year for the left in general? Not saying they're unrelated, but the correlation, from what I have seen, doesn't occur in non-left favored cycles

Wha? It doesn't usually work like that. PPP actually had the smallest house effect in 2010 as well. Rasmussen did badly in 2010 and by that reasoning they should have done well in a 'right' year.

Don't try to reason with people like him. They don't, and rather just yell "muh freduhm!!!"

I'm not very fond of being demonized

So bite me.
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