GA-SurveyUSA: Carter erases 9-point Deal-lead and now trails by 1

[Tender Branson]

45% Deal (-3)
44% Carter (+5)

http://www.11alive.com/story/news/local/2014/09/09/exclusive-poll-shows-race-for-governor-tied/15323019

[Tender Branson]

Big swings in both races (Nunn going from -9 to -3,Carter going from -9 to +1).

Any reason for it,or just terrible polling/outliers?

This poll has a D+3 sample, their previous was R+2.

That might explain it.

SurveyUSA also mentions that the summer break might have played a role in between:

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[Tender Branson]

Why is the sample D+3?

The typical bouncing around in the polls.

I guess in the previous poll, Republican voters told SUSA they are more motivated to vote in November, producing an R sample.

And now Democrats say they are more motivated in GA.

[Tender Branson]

Whoever entered the poll into the database flipped the numbers around.

Looks like the 11alive-people got the numbers wrong and put Carter+1 in their article.

The SUSA crosstabs show Deal+1, so the database entry is correct.