FL-PPP: Clinton leads Bush, Christie, Cruz, Huckabee, Paul, Rubio

[Mr. Morden]

PPP poll of Florida:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_FL_909704.pdf

Clinton 46%
Bush 44%

Clinton 49%
Rubio 42%

Clinton 46%
Christie 38%

Clinton 48%
Paul 40%

Clinton 49%
Huckabee 40%

Clinton 51%
Cruz 36%

[Lief 🗽]

Just think how large her leads will be with a presidential year, rather than a midterm, Florida electorate!

[Mr. Morden]

Rubio job approval:
approve: 44%
disapprove: 41%

Bush favorability:
favorable: 50%
unfavorable: 35%

[IceSpear]

Just think how large her leads will be with a presidential year, rather than a midterm, Florida electorate!

Yup. Since it's a 2014 likely voter sample, I expected the PPP polls in the next few months to be pretty bad. But if she's still leading in FL despite this, those polls showing her up double digits on everyone with a 2016 electorate aren't looking so unrealistic anymore...

[pbrower2a]

It's also a mid-week poll (polling on the Labor Day weekend would have distorted things even more).

Although a Democratic nominee can win without Florida (just think of how anticlimactic the Florida result was in 2012), a Republican nominee will need Florida to have a chance of winning the Presidency.