AR-CNN: Cotton+2

[GaussLaw]

That's a weird variance between likely and registered voters. Cotton needs to be up by more than two to win this, because Pryor can easily close that gap.

Come on now, when you're trailing in a poll, you can't somehow say the other side's the one in danger. 

The LV/RV discrepancy seems odd, but given the fact that Obama's approval is rock-bottom among RVs as well, it seems like a bit of a weird sample.

Still, not good news for Pryor.  The turnout of this race will be R-favored, most likely.