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  KY-CNN: McConnell +4
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Author Topic: KY-CNN: McConnell +4  (Read 2926 times)
Lief 🐋
Lief
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« on: September 03, 2014, 03:03:43 pm »
« edited: September 03, 2014, 03:07:06 pm by ℒief »

https://twitter.com/DavidChalian/status/507257133063503872

Guys I'm beginning to think that McConnell might currently be leading by 4 percentage points. I'd like to see another 5-10 polls also showing him leading by 4 percentage points before I'm absolutely certain though.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1 on: September 03, 2014, 03:05:21 pm »

Cruisin'. Smiley
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Vega
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« Reply #2 on: September 03, 2014, 03:20:50 pm »


4 points, 1 out of the margin of error, is not crusin'.
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backtored
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« Reply #3 on: September 03, 2014, 03:27:13 pm »

Three polls in 24 hours of the most overrated Senate race in America. 

As I said in another thread, so many of these races in other states may have moved a lot in the last 30 days, but we'd never know about it because everyone is too busy polling Kentucky, Georgia, and Kansas, presumably trying to fish for new political stories where there just aren't any.
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Miles
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« Reply #4 on: September 03, 2014, 03:29:31 pm »

Well, I would have never guessed Grin

CNN should also be out with a poll today. I'm expecting another with McConnell up 3-5.
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #5 on: September 03, 2014, 04:10:09 pm »

The only way Grimes wins is if she sweeps whatever debates are held, or if there's some kind of bizarre scandal that works in her favor.  A very thin line to walk.  
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Gass3268
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« Reply #6 on: September 03, 2014, 04:11:33 pm »

Should be noted that the Libertarian candidate was not tested in this poll. Don't think it would matter much. 
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #7 on: September 03, 2014, 04:12:45 pm »

The only way Grimes wins is if she sweeps whatever debates are held, or if there's some kind of bizarre scandal that works in her favor.  A very thin line to walk.  

McConnell himself is a bizarre scandal.
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ModerateVAVoter
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« Reply #8 on: September 03, 2014, 04:42:14 pm »

Isn't Grimes going through a "bizarre scandal" of her own? The issue with her campaign bus?
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #9 on: September 03, 2014, 04:47:32 pm »

Isn't Grimes going through a "bizarre scandal" of her own? The issue with her campaign bus?

The only people who care about the campaign bus "scandal" is the right-wing media that's determined to elect McConnell.
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Beat-‘Em-All Beto
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« Reply #10 on: September 03, 2014, 05:14:48 pm »

Isn't Grimes going through a "bizarre scandal" of her own? The issue with her campaign bus?

The only people who care about the campaign bus "scandal" is the right-wing media that's determined to elect McConnell.
And of course POLITICO gave some unnecessary coverage to it
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IceSpear
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« Reply #11 on: September 03, 2014, 05:45:48 pm »

Three polls in 24 hours of the most overrated Senate race in America. 

As I said in another thread, so many of these races in other states may have moved a lot in the last 30 days, but we'd never know about it because everyone is too busy polling Kentucky, Georgia, and Kansas, presumably trying to fish for new political stories where there just aren't any.

Overrated in what sense? The sitting Senate Republican leader leading in a deep red state by only 4 points seems pretty worthy of a story to me...

Anyway, McConnell clearly has the edge as of now, but it's not insurmountable. Grimes needs to get aggressive and flip the turtle on his shell.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #12 on: September 03, 2014, 06:52:41 pm »

Like I said, it will be comfortable in the end.
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KCDem
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« Reply #13 on: September 03, 2014, 07:02:00 pm »

Like I said, it will be comfortable in the end.

4 points isn't comfortable, clown.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #14 on: September 03, 2014, 07:08:51 pm »

Like I said, it will be comfortable in the end.

4 points isn't comfortable, clown.

reading, clown.
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KCDem
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« Reply #15 on: September 03, 2014, 07:10:01 pm »


There's no reason to believe McConnell will gain, in the end. Nice try.
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KCDem
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« Reply #16 on: September 03, 2014, 08:33:05 pm »

This is a poll of likely voters. The registered voter sample shows McConnell up only 1 point 46-47. This race is a tossup.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #17 on: September 03, 2014, 08:36:09 pm »

Like I said, it will be comfortable in the end.

4 points isn't comfortable, clown.

He's lead by four now. If Grimes wasn't leading by now, she isn't going to win. And there's plenty of reason to believe McConnell will gain: Republicans coming home.

McConnell will win by about six to eight which is comfortable, clown.

Politics, KCDem: it just ain't your thing.
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Panda Express
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« Reply #18 on: September 03, 2014, 08:45:23 pm »

What's with all the clowns in this topic?
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #19 on: September 03, 2014, 08:47:00 pm »

lol phil
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GaussLaw
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« Reply #20 on: September 03, 2014, 09:21:28 pm »

McConnell is now officially favored.  Period.
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KCDem
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« Reply #21 on: September 03, 2014, 09:28:29 pm »

Like I said, it will be comfortable in the end.

4 points isn't comfortable, clown.

He's lead by four now. If Grimes wasn't leading by now, she isn't going to win. And there's plenty of reason to believe McConnell will gain: Republicans coming home.

McConnell will win by about six to eight which is comfortable, clown.

Politics, KCDem: it just ain't your thing.

Hahaha sorry if I'm not following the instincts of an uppity dego
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ATTACK AND DETHRONE GOD
SawxDem
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« Reply #22 on: September 03, 2014, 09:40:00 pm »

Like I said, it will be comfortable in the end.

4 points isn't comfortable, clown.

holy shxt bruh why so angry
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #23 on: September 04, 2014, 01:10:34 am »

4% is still winnable.

Internals:

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2014/images/09/03/cnn.orc.kentucky.poll.pdf

Grimes now has 84% of Democrats already, while she only got 75% before.

But McConnell has managed to increase his support among Indies.

So, it really depends if Grimes can turn out enough Democrats and reverse her slide among Indies.
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Trends are real, and I f**king hate it
Antonio V
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« Reply #24 on: September 04, 2014, 02:21:08 am »

I'm starting to think this race is over.
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