TX-23: Rematch probable, as DCCC (re-)drafting Gallego
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  TX-23: Rematch probable, as DCCC (re-)drafting Gallego
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Author Topic: TX-23: Rematch probable, as DCCC (re-)drafting Gallego  (Read 991 times)
Miles
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« on: February 04, 2015, 06:16:50 AM »

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Indy Texas
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« Reply #1 on: February 09, 2015, 01:11:26 AM »

This seat will probably continue to swing back and forth the rest of the decade: GOP gets it in off years, Dems get it in presidential years.
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badgate
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: February 09, 2015, 01:19:41 AM »

This is good news. Go Gallego! If he can hold it in '18 he might be a good candidate for 2020 Senate.
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free my dawg
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« Reply #3 on: February 09, 2015, 01:40:06 AM »
« Edited: February 09, 2015, 01:41:44 AM by Sawx, King in the North »

Probably wouldn't be a bad idea - isn't this seat trending D quickly?

This is good news. Go Gallego! If he can hold it in '18 he might be a good candidate for 2020 Senate.

Eh, 2026 would probably be better. He'd be 64 so it wouldn't be entirely far-fetched.
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Vosem
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« Reply #4 on: February 09, 2015, 02:17:55 AM »

Eh, Romney did worse than Generic R here and he still won the district by a few points. Texas statewide Rs have been winning it by double-digits fairly frequently. Canseco was just really lazy as a candidate; so long as Hurd is better (no guarantee; he did lose a primary to Canseco back in 2010) we should be able to keep this as a district that only goes D in wave years. Gallego is a very good get for the DCCC, of course -- probably the strongest Democrat this area has.
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badgate
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: February 09, 2015, 02:32:11 AM »

This is good news. Go Gallego! If he can hold it in '18 he might be a good candidate for 2020 Senate.

Eh, 2026 would probably be better. He'd be 64 so it wouldn't be entirely far-fetched.

There's no harm in having a practice run.
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Miles
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« Reply #6 on: February 09, 2015, 02:44:51 AM »

Probably wouldn't be a bad idea - isn't this seat trending D quickly?

It trended D slightly in 2012. Longer term, the trend is stronger, but Bush had an effect in TX, which likely exaggerated the trend,.

I wouldn't be surprised Republicans conceded this seat permanently after the next census though. That would make it easier for them to be greedy elsewhere.
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