PA-BehaviorMatrix (R-Corbett): Wolf by 7

[sawx]

http://www.politicspa.com/pa-gov-internal-memo-corbett-down-7-points/60034/

Not sure where to put this (closer to an election model than a model) but I'll put it here. No specific numbers. Here's his projected map (with county numbers):



Needless to say if Corbett's own simulation of the election is him down 7, the PAGOP needs to work on saving their legislative majorities.

[The Daily Beagle]

I am inclined to say that it will be similar to Santorum v. Casey if 2006 was neutral  instead of D+4. So... 56-43?

[sawx]

^Sounds about right.

[IceSpear]

lol