|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 03, 2021, 09:56:51 AM

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  PA-F&M: Wolf leads Corbett by more than 2:1		 « previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: PA-F&M: Wolf leads Corbett by more than 2:1  (Read 3124 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,447
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 28, 2014, 05:26:36 AM »


http://lancasteronline.com/news/local/f-m-college-poll-corbett-failing-to-gain-ground-in/article_2e89c352-2e32-11e4-8e8c-001a4bcf6878.html
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,447
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 28, 2014, 05:34:46 AM »
It's also not getting any better for Corbett when undecideds are pushed:

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,447
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 28, 2014, 05:37:15 AM »
While they don't give combined numbers (incl. leaners), the breakdown of leaners would give us an overall result of 56% Wolf and 27% Corbett.
Logged
Senator Cris
Cris
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 5,558
Italy


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 28, 2014, 07:04:13 AM »
Lean D.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,939
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 28, 2014, 08:58:46 AM »
So is this lean D like Sabato says or a toss up like Cook says? I guess we'll split the difference and call it tilt D. Wink

But no really, this is a safe D race now. Time to put aside "muh incumbency" and see reality for what it is. Wolf has a bigger lead than Greg Abbott, Jerry Brown, John Cornyn, Ben Sasse, Dick Durbin, Lindsey Graham...
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,507
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: August 28, 2014, 09:03:28 AM »
This race has been over for a long time, the fact that Wolf's margin continues to grow is very telling.
Logged
MATTROSE94
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,891
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: August 28, 2014, 09:16:31 AM »
What are the odds of Tom Wolf getting over 60% of the vote at this point?
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,270
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: August 28, 2014, 09:21:07 AM »
Overwhelming D.

Pennsylvania can certainly turn on an incumbent in an election -- just think of Rick Sanctimonious in 2006!
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,338
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: August 28, 2014, 10:12:40 AM »
Undecideds seem too high for me, but yeah. I don't see how Corbett comes back from this deficit  in two months' time.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,543
United States


Political Matrix
E: 3.23, S: -7.48

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: August 28, 2014, 11:55:14 AM »
Corbett has an equal chance as Beauprez in Colorado.
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 5,929
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: August 28, 2014, 01:49:11 PM »
Lean R
Logged
Dixie Reborn
BeyondTruthAndIdeals
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 820
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: August 28, 2014, 02:30:09 PM »
Wolf under 50? Definetley Likely Republican.
Logged
Dixie Reborn
BeyondTruthAndIdeals
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 820
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: August 28, 2014, 02:31:16 PM »
The polls are skewed, Corbett will win in a landslide.
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,647


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: August 28, 2014, 04:09:32 PM »

That's standard for F&M polls.
Logged
backtored
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 502
Vatican City State


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: August 28, 2014, 04:59:50 PM »
« Edited: August 28, 2014, 05:03:38 PM by backtored »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on August 28, 2014, 11:55:14 AM
Corbett has an equal chance as Beauprez in Colorado.

Well, no, not really.
Logged
backtored
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 502
Vatican City State


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: August 28, 2014, 05:04:30 PM »
I can only imagine how disastrous this is for down-ballot races.
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,183
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: August 28, 2014, 05:05:06 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on August 28, 2014, 11:55:14 AM
Corbett has an equal chance as Beauprez in Colorado.

You're joking. Right?
Logged
henster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,796


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: August 28, 2014, 05:05:42 PM »
I think Wolf wins 62-36 in the end and depressed GOP turnout allows for a couple of state Senate to flip towards the Dems. I think there's a high possibility one chamber flips at this point there will be some type of coattails from all of this.
Logged
Flake
Flo
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,696
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: August 28, 2014, 05:08:07 PM »

I'm pretty sure it's sarcasm
Logged
backtored
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 502
Vatican City State


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: August 28, 2014, 05:13:16 PM »
Why didn't they primary him?

Pennsylvania is a slowly R-trending state, and a super-important one for Republicans in 2016 and beyond.  I don't understand how the GOP let this happen, unless there is some metric out there where Corbett is in better shape than we all think.
Logged
Vega
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 5,257
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: August 28, 2014, 05:14:43 PM »
Quote from: backtored on August 28, 2014, 05:13:16 PM
Pennsylvania is a slowly R-trending state

What?
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,647


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: August 28, 2014, 05:30:51 PM »

This state is still very old fashioned. There's a lot of respect for the establishment and the Governor is truly seen as the head of his respective party. Plus, the Governor's office here is historically strong so a Governor wields incredible influence.

There was plenty of talk about a Corbett primary challenge and an old rival of his was "considering" it. No surprise when it didn't materialize though.
Logged
Tanden Blamed Bernie For The Rise of COVID
SawxDem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,768
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: August 28, 2014, 05:45:50 PM »
Quote from: Keystone Phil on August 28, 2014, 05:30:51 PM

This state is still very old fashioned. There's a lot of respect for the establishment and the Governor is truly seen as the head of his respective party. Plus, the Governor's office here is historically strong so a Governor wields incredible influence.

There was plenty of talk about a Corbett primary challenge and an old rival of his was "considering" it. No surprise when it didn't materialize though.

Gerlach, right?
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,647


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: August 28, 2014, 05:54:24 PM »
Quote from: Northeast Assemblyman Sawx on August 28, 2014, 05:45:50 PM
Quote from: Keystone Phil on August 28, 2014, 05:30:51 PM

This state is still very old fashioned. There's a lot of respect for the establishment and the Governor is truly seen as the head of his respective party. Plus, the Governor's office here is historically strong so a Governor wields incredible influence.

There was plenty of talk about a Corbett primary challenge and an old rival of his was "considering" it. No surprise when it didn't materialize though.

Gerlach, right?

Bruce Castor

Gerlach was talked up but he isn't a historical Corbett rival.
Logged
Tanden Blamed Bernie For The Rise of COVID
SawxDem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,768
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: August 28, 2014, 06:10:08 PM »
Oh yeah, him.

What do you think it would've been like if it was Wolf v. Castor?
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.054 seconds with 13 queries.