IA-PPP: Braley (D) up 1.

[Maxwell]

Braley and Ernst are both pretty unpopular, but Braley is leading because Ernst is more hated.

[Maxwell]

Democratic pollster
Margin of error.

Truly anyone's game

PPP, with the exception of their internals, which I question, is fairly accurate in most states (exception for AK, HI, and WV) even with questionable methods. I'd trust this poll as a barometer for how the race looks right now, along with any Quinnipiac poll.

[Maxwell]

Democratic pollster
Margin of error.

Truly anyone's game

PPP, with the exception of their internals, which I question, is fairly accurate in most states (exception for AK, HI, and WV) even with questionable methods. I'd trust this poll as a barometer for how the race looks right now, along with any Quinnipiac poll.

It's still a statistical tie with the MoE

I'm not disagreeing with that. I agree with your statement that it's truly anyone's game. I'm just saying that characterizing PPP as a democratic firm is unfair to their level of accuracy in most races.

[Maxwell]

I just don't see a republican pickup here. Obama won the state handily in 12.

It's not 2012, and the Democrat is certainly no Obama in terms of campaign skill. It's whether Ernst's campaigning skill can override her craziness.

[Maxwell]

I know people here really like Ernst, but this is fool's gold. At this point, if she can't manage an actual lead and none of her crazy antics have been put into ads yet, she's not going to win.

Nobody "likes" Ernst here, you're arguing with nobody.